Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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IL-03 House election: Delia Ramirez vote percent
The odds
71.35%median
62%82%
Median 71.35%Middle half 68.31% – 74.58%
How the odds have moved
Median: 72.14% on Oct 20, 71.35% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 64% | 94% | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 1.0K | |
| At least 66% | 88% | 83¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | ||
| At least 68% | 78% | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 200 | |
| At least 70% | 62% | 57¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | ||
| At least 72% | 45% | 40¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | ||
| At least 74% | 28% | 24¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | ||
| At least 76% | 17% | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | ||
| At least 78% | 9% | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | ||
| At least 80% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 2.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: IL- House, Delia Ramirez
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Ilhan Omar hit with expulsion threat as GOP lawmaker vows to boot her from Congress over DOJ probeU.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia Jeanine Pirro details the mounting questions surrounding Rep. Ilhan Omar of Minnesota following a federal raid. EXCLUSIVE: Rep. Randy Fine, R-Fla., told Fox News Digital that he plans to pursue an… -
Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro face off over competing visions of Brazil’s futureOn Sunday, Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro will compete in a closely contested presidential runoff with significant implications for Latin America and Brazil’s relationship with global actors… -
US Rep. Ilhan Omar faces expulsion threat over alleged immigration fraudUS Representative Randy Fine has threatened to pursue the expulsion of Ilhan Omar, a Democratic congresswoman from Minnesota, if the US Department of Justice finds her guilty of immigration fraud. Fine, a Republican from Florida and member… -
New Democratic voices cool on Trump impeachment pushFor years, impeachment was one of the loudest weapons in the Democratic arsenal against Donald Trump. Now, a new crop of progressives is sounding far less eager to turn it into a reflex. That shift is showing up in public comments from… -
13 US Lawmakers Press Meta on Brazil VoteRead our Brazil election 2026 runoff guide → Brazil election 2026 · Brazil election polls · Who will win: Brazil election odds · Brazil runoff date and results start · Brazil election results · Brazil election poll data (CSV) · All… -
Jayapal, Sanders Question Zuckerberg Over Alleged Meta Interference in Brazilian ElectionSupporters of Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva hold masks depicting Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg with red horns during a demonstration in front of Meta's headquarters in São Paulo, Brazil, on October 19, 2026. "It is unacceptable… - US Congresswoman: Israel Is Committing Genocide Against PalestiniansDelia Ramirez, a member of the US Congress, has accused Israel of committing genocide against Palestinians with funding from the United States. In a post on X on Wednesday night, October 21, Ramirez wrote that Israel continues to kill…
- TRT World - US congresswoman says Israel's genocide in Gaza 'has not ended'US Congresswoman Delia Ramirez said on Wednesday that Israel’s genocide against Palestinians “has not ended,” calling for the passage of her bill to block US bomb transfers to Israel. “Israel is committing a genocide against Palestinians…
- Lula's 'love for the poor' keeps Northeast backing despite vote dipWalter dos Santos, a 56-year-old resident of Maranhao state, credits Brazil's leftist President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva with transforming his life from illiteracy and hunger to a family of professionals, reflecting the enduring appeal of…
- Hundreds back Sally Rooney as UK halts book sales over Palestine Action tiesUS vice president declines to endorse Netanyahu ahead of Israeli elections US Vice President JD Vance on Wednesday declined to endorse Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ahead of Israel's Oct. 27 elections, stressing his focus…
- Yemen army reports 835 strikes on Houthis in 24 hoursIran parliament speaker meets Supreme Leader Khamenei amid US-Israel war Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf held extensive talks with Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei on Wednesday to discuss military developments…
- Trump says US could exit Iran war but seeks lasting outcomeUS President Donald Trump said Wednesday that the United States could end its war with Iran immediately but prefers to secure a lasting settlement rather than accept a temporary peace. "It’ll end very soon. We could leave now, but we want…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions