Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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IL-01 House election: Jonathan Jackson vote percent
The odds
69.19%median
60%80%
Median 69.19%Middle half 65.75% – 72.58%
How the odds have moved
Median: 68.96% on Oct 19, 69.19% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 62% | 93% | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 100 | |
| At least 64% | 86% | 81¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | ||
| At least 66% | 74% | 69¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | ||
| At least 68% | 60% | 55¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | ||
| At least 70% | 44% | 39¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | ||
| At least 72% | 28% | 24¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | ||
| At least 74% | 17% | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | ||
| At least 76% | 9% | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | ||
| At least 78% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: IL- House, Jonathan Jackson
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Lawmakers back push against military sexual assaultIllinois lawmakers are pledging support for a Chicago-area veterans advocate seeking stronger protections and accountability for service members who experience sexual assault, as new Pentagon data shows declines in estimated assaults but… -
Jayapal, Sanders Question Zuckerberg Over Alleged Meta Interference in Brazilian ElectionSupporters of Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva hold masks depicting Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg with red horns during a demonstration in front of Meta's headquarters in São Paulo, Brazil, on October 19, 2026. "It is unacceptable… -
13 US Lawmakers Press Meta on Brazil VoteRead our Brazil election 2026 runoff guide → Brazil election 2026 · Brazil election polls · Who will win: Brazil election odds · Brazil runoff date and results start · Brazil election results · Brazil election poll data (CSV) · All… -
Congressional Democrats Push to End Trump’s Cuba BlockadeWith November’s midterm elections approaching, a growing number of Democrats are speaking out against the Trump administration’s economic war on Cuba. “If we win the House…we are focused on legislation that would quickly be introduced to… - Free Cuba from U.S. crueltyI’ve been blessed to visit and work in many places in the world. I’ve seen people struggle in many of those places. Some have given up struggling to make their country better, but not Cubans. We saw them carrying on with the best they…
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Rep. Neguse Leads Colleagues in Letter to State Department Urging Additional Support for Nepal Floods ResponseWashington, D.C. — Today, Colorado Congressman Joe Neguse, Co-Chair of the Bipartisan Congressional Nepal Caucus, led a dozen colleagues in a letter to the United States Department of State, urging they provide additional aid to Nepal as… -
Black Church Leaders Broaden Voter Outreach Ahead of Midterm Elections(RNS) — With less than a month before the midterm elections, Black churches are boosting their efforts to get voters to the polls, using new outreach methods like postcard writing campaigns, multistate tours, weekday rallies, and other… -
Reps. Smith, Budzinski Lead Letter Urging Support For America’s Biofuel IndustryReps. Smith, Budzinski Lead Letter Urging Support For America?s Biofuel Industry Renewable Energy Magazine In the letter, the lawmakers ask the administration to uphold its commitment to American grown energy by proposing a supplemental… -
Commentary: Thomas Jefferson: Arrogant hypocriteLast month, a study of Thomas Jefferson's genome proved that he fathered the children born to his slave, Sally Hemings. So, last week, I made my first visit to Monticello. In short, he was no Thomas Jonathan “Stonewall” Jackson, a… -
Manhattan 2026 Voter Guide: Everything You Need To KnowMANHATTAN, IL — The Nov. 3 General Election is less than a month away, and will include the gubernatorial race, as well as various county races, sheriff, assessor and more. Early voting has already kicked off across the Chicago area, with… - New Lenox 2026 Voter Guide: Everything You Need To KnowNEW LENOX, IL — The Nov. 3 General Election is less than a month away, and will include the gubernatorial race, as well as various county races, sheriff, assessor and more. Early voting has already kicked off across the Chicago area, with…
- Tinley Park 2026 Voter Guide: Everything You Need To KnowTINLEY PARK, IL — The Nov. 3 General Election is less than a month away, and will include the gubernatorial race, as well as various county races, sheriff, assessor and more. Early voting has already kicked off across the Chicago area…
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45.43%median
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions