Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
Install
ID-01 House election: Kaylee Peterson vote percent
The odds
33.1%median
22%44%
Median 33.1%Middle half 30.58% – 35.63%
How the odds have moved
Median: 32.16% on Oct 19, 33.1% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 24% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 26% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 28% | 94% | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 30% | 81% | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | ||
| At least 32% | 62% | 57¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | ||
| At least 34% | 41% | 36¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | ||
| At least 36% | 22% | 17¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 1.1K | |
| At least 38% | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | ||
| At least 40% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | |||
| At least 42% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: ID- House, Kaylee Peterson
Search ›-
Cowardly candidates make weak leadersHaving the courage of your convictions should be a prerequisite for elected office. Yet courage seems increasingly rare in the Idaho Statehouse and U.S. Capitol. It doesn’t have to be that way. I’ve seen tremendous courage from Idaho… -
Idaho 2026 Election Guide: Key Dates, Voting Information and ResultsIDAHO — The November 2026 election is approaching, and KMVT’s voter guide includes information voters need before heading to the polls. This guide incorporates reporting and election information from sister station Idaho News 6. On… -
Letters to the EditorTRUMP: Words do matter I agree with Mister Scheets that words certainly do matter. I too saw the speech that you refer to. I believe that the reference you refer to was in the context of what could happen if Iran had a nuclear delivery… -
Ferro: Lots to hope for in from this electionLiving in a state with a red trifecta — Republicans holding the governorship and both houses of the legislature — means we miss much of the hoopla of elections — no outrageous ads by Elon Musk or rallies with the president. Trump has 36… -
Idaho’s First Congressional District Candidates discuss public lands, healthcare and immigrationKaylee Peterson, 36, has previously worked as a political organizer and is the Democratic candidate for Idaho’s First Congressional District. Sarah Zabel, 61, is a retired U.S. Air Force major general looking to represent Idaho’s First…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.8%median
8%28%
Median 15.8%Middle half 14.13% – 18%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.81%median
32%56%
Median 44.81%Middle half 41.53% – 48.24%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.5%median
0%16%
Median 10.5%Middle half 8.26% – 13.43%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.55% – 17.65%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.26%median
30%65%
Median 45.26%Middle half 41.89% – 48.21%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions