Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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FL-15 House election: Robert People vote percent
The odds
43.45%median
32%52%
Median 43.45%Middle half 40.76% – 46.21%
How the odds have moved
Median: 42.67% on Oct 19, 43.45% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 34% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 36% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 38% | 93% | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 40% | 82% | 77¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | ||
| At least 42% | 65% | 60¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | ||
| At least 44% | 45% | 40¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | ||
| At least 46% | 27% | 22¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | ||
| At least 48% | 13% | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | ||
| At least 50% | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FL- House, Robert People
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FL House & GOP Pulling FundingFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul A look at Florida's congressional races and top GOP groups pulling funding from first-term incumbents. -
Sheriffs Across FL CD 15 Endorse Laurel Lee for ReelectionCongresswoman Laurel Lee (R-Fla.) has secured endorsements from county sheriffs across Florida’s 15th Congressional District (FL CD 15) as she fights to retain her seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Citrus County Sheriff David… -
Local Sheriffs back Laurel Lee for re-election, praise ‘commitment to public safety’Four local Sheriffs are adding their support to Laurel Lee’s re-election campaign as she faces a tough election cycle that has put Republicans across the nation on defense even in some deep-red areas. Sheriffs David Vincent of Citrus… - Castor, Beltran get testy during congressional candidate forumTampa Bay Times TampaâÂÂs Tiger Bay Club on Friday hosted a forum that was meant to cover all three of Hillsborough CountyâÂÂs newly redrawn congressional seats: Districts 12, 14 and 15 .But the stars of the show were Democratic U.S…
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District 14 Congressional candidates take part in nonpartisan political forumYBOR, Fla. (WFLA) — Representative Kathy Castor and Mike Beltran took part in a nonpartisan political forum put on by the Tampa Tiger Bay Club. Both are fighting for Florida’s 14th Congressional District seat, which Castor currently holds… -
“Sodagate” Shows Republican Desperation and Rat F***King at its worst.Polls and early turnout have made Republicans so desperate they are rolling out vicious and absurd dirty tricks to tar Democrats. We saw that yesterday on the Senate level with the bogus story that James Talarico had checked into an Ohio…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions