Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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FL-08 House election: Mike Haridopolos vote percent
The odds
55.35%median
46%66%
Median 55.35%Middle half 52.65% – 58.08%
How the odds have moved
Median: 55.08% on Oct 19, 55.35% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 50% | 92% | ▲ 1 | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | |
| At least 52% | 81% | ▲ 1 | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | |
| At least 54% | 64% | ▲ 1 | 59¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | |
| At least 56% | 44% | ▲ 1 | 39¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | |
| At least 58% | 26% | ▲ 1 | 21¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 600 |
| At least 60% | 13% | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 400 | |
| At least 62% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | |||
| At least 64% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FL- House, Mike Haridopolos
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FL House & GOP Pulling FundingFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul A look at Florida's congressional races and top GOP groups pulling funding from first-term incumbents. -
Editorial: Make your plan — and plan to voteAnd of course, there’s the most daunting task of all: Deciding who to vote for. Today, we’re reprinting the list of the Orlando Sentinel’s election endorsements, but there’s plenty of time to do your own research as well. District 7: Bale… -
‘We appreciate your commitment to public safety’: Orange County firefighters union endorses Mike HaridopolosTwo weeks after endorsing Democrat Darren Soto in Florida’s 9th Congressional District, the Orange County Fire Fighters Association is backing Republican Mike Haridopolos in Florida’s 8th Congressional District. IAFF Local 2057, which… -
Former TV journalist, ex-NASA chief of staff vie in ‘toss-up’ U.S. House raceA former TV journalist and ex-NASA chief of staff will face off in one of the most hotly contested and closely watched Congressional races in Florida. Ryan Elijah, an anchor for Fox 35 in Orlando until earlier this year, easily defeated… -
Jennifer Jenkins Accuses Mike Haridopolos of Lying to Voters Through Anti-Fraud PledgeJennifer Jenkins, the Democratic challenger for Florida’s 8th Congressional District, scrutinized Congressman Mike Haridopolos (R) for endorsing Vice President (VP) JD Vance’s “Pledge to Protect Americans from Fraud.” The former Brevard… -
Regulator Report: During Biden Years, 9 Largest U.S. Banks Debanked Clients over Political, Religious Views“This is just shocking information,” exclaimed Rep. Mike Haridopolos (R-Fla.) on “Washington Watch.” “These are things that happen in communist regimes or fascist regimes, where the government is playing politics in an aggressive way. …… -
2026 Voter’s Guide - US House District 8“This story is part of a collaborative initiative of independent local news outlets working towards a more informed and engaged Central Florida.” As part of our commitment to providing you with what you need to make an informed decision in… -
Delegation for 10.16.26: Guard shortage — Trump returns — diesel diplomacy — party lines — AI deceptionAfter another powerful hurricane hit the state, members of Florida’s congressional delegation say the need for more National Guardsmen in Florida is clearer than ever. Sen. Ashley Moody and Rep. Vern Buchanan led a bicameral letter to War… -
Florida National Guard Is Stretched To The Brink — Lawmakers Say It’s Time To GrowSource: Florida National Guard Fourteen members of Florida’s congressional delegation are asking the federal government to increase the size of the Florida National Guard, pointing out that the state has one of the smallest Guard presences… -
House Speaker Mike Johnson rallies for GOP nominee Laurie Buckhout in New BernFour people, including three children, were killed and others injured in an Oregon elementary school shooting. The shooter is dead. With early voting underway in North Carolina, Republican congressional candidate Laurie Buckhout traveled… -
List of Orlando Sentinel’s endorsements, recommendations for the November general electionHere’s the complete list of endorsements from the Orlando Sentinel editorial board for the Nov. 3 general election. You can also find the list at orlandosentinel.com/endorsements. A note to readers: the Orlando Sentinel’s Editorial Board… -
Letters: Vote Jenkins over Haridopolos | Orlando declining | Lessons from WatergateThis is in response to your editorial board’s endorsement of Mike Haridopolos for U.S. House. As far as I can tell, Haridopolos has abandoned any individual thought and has abdicated his oath to the Constitution. He is nothing more than a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions