Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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CO-05 House election: Jessica Killin vote percent
The odds
47.33%median
36%56%
Median 47.33%Middle half 44.71% – 49.89%
How the odds have moved
Median: 46% on Oct 19, 47.33% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 98% | ▲ 1 | 95¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 40% | 97% | ▲ 1 | 93¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 42% | 92% | ▲ 5 | 87¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | |
| At least 44% | 81% | ▲ 8 | 76¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | 800 |
| At least 46% | 64% | ▲ 10 | 59¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | |
| At least 48% | 43% | ▲ 10 | 38¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 20.00 |
| At least 50% | 24% | ▲ 7 | 19¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | |
| At least 52% | 11% | ▲ 4 | 6¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | |
| At least 54% | 4% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | $12.50 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CO- House, Jessica Killin
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Jessica Killin is essentially tied with Jeff Crank in Colorado Springs’ congressional district, poll showsDemocrat Jessica Killin is essentially tied with Republican U.S. Rep. Jeff Crank in Colorado’s 5th Congressional District with about two weeks left before Election Day, according to a recent poll conducted on behalf of Killin’s campaign… -
Colorado Dem Candidate Jessica Killin Still Has 'Principal Residence' in MarylandJessica Killin, the Democrat running for the House in Colorado's 5th Congressional District, has a history of working for Democrats in Colorado and D.C. Her husband, Rajeev "Raj" Date, also has a history of profiting from his role in the… -
Down to the wire in 5th Congressional DistrictThe history of Colorado’s 5th Congressional District would indicate that the Nov. 3 election should be a guaranteed victory for the Republican party. But recent trends in this year’s election cycle suggest that the contest between… -
Local parties step up election efforts in El Paso CountyHope ebbs and flows for the Democratic Party in El Paso County. This year, it’s at an all-time high. “I’ve never felt or seen this type of energy before,” said Chauncey Johnson, a Congressional District 5 regional organizing director… -
Will Colorado Springs’ congressional seat go blue sooner than expected? Democrats see an opening in a wave year.On paper, Colorado’s 5th Congressional District race should be all but a foregone conclusion. Freshman U.S. Rep. Jeff Crank won the Colorado Springs-centered seat by almost 14 percentage points in 2024. El Paso County as a whole voted for… -
Supporters of Jeff Crank Dox Jessica Killin, His Democratic Opponent, in CO SpringsThe day after the ad first aired, Killin put out a video response saying the ad created security concerns for her and her family. The video response may be watched here. “As a candidate, I expect dishonest ads, especially given that my… -
Elect Candidates Who Will Ban Presidents from Profiting in OfficeBy Virginia Kase Solomón and Abigail Bellows In 2025, President Trump made $2.2 billion while in office. Yes: $2.2 billion. That’s 25,000 times higher than the U.S. median household income. While Trump was making $2.2 billion in office… -
Candidate for CO-5 says campaign ads created safety concerns for familyCOLORADO SPRINGS, Colo. (KRDO) - The race for Colorado's 5th Congressional has been far from friendly. In past weeks, Jeff Crank (R) has taken issue with certain ads aired by his opponent, Jessica Killin (D). Tonight, Jessica Killin tells… -
Isn’t doing well a good thing? | Hal BidlackWay back in 2008, when I ran for the U.S. Congress down here in Colorado Springs (though, to be properly pedantic, I should say, “up here in Colorado Springs,” as we are a thousand feet higher than Denver), my opponent, the Republican… -
Deep-red districts are now House battlegrounds. These are the races to watch.As the Nov. 3 midterms draw closer, the political environment appears increasingly favorable for Democrats and grim for Republicans. The battlefield of competitive races is expanding and reaching red districts once considered locks for the… -
Understanding Colorado’s unusual 2026 elections | Cronin and LoevyNot too long ago, Colorado was a “red state” (Republican) politically. Republican President Dwight Eisenhower won here twice. Republican President Richard Nixon won Colorado three times. Republican President Ronald Reagan won Colorado… -
Jessica Killin and ‘Team Normal’ eye flipping a red House districtBetter Know a Democrat is an interview series to give voters a closer look at candidates in competitive races across the U.S. In recent years, Democrats have been accused of losing the messaging and disconnecting from voters, but in a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions