Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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CO-01 House election: Shimon Blau vote percent
The odds
2.73%median
0%8%
Median 2.73%Middle half 1.64% – 4.1%
How the odds have moved
Median: 2.35% on Oct 20, 2.73% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1% | 89% | 85¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 1.0K | |
| At least 2% | 68% | 63¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 2.3K | |
| At least 3% | 44% | 39¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 3.5K | |
| At least 4% | 26% | 22¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 205 | |
| At least 5% | 16% | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 210 | |
| At least 6% | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | ||
| At least 7% | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CO- House, Shimon Blau
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Kiros responds to CD1 candidates claims her comments were a “dog whistle” for antisemitic attacksDemocratic nominee for Colorado Congressional District 1 Melat Kiros is responding to unaffiliated Colorado Congressional District 1 candidate Shimon Blau’s claims that Kiros’s comments on the Boulder firebombing attack were a “dog… -
Hundreds gather in Denver to push back on antisemitismFrom a CSU student's kibbutz paintings to online attacks on a congressional candidate, attendees detailed what they see as rising antisemitism More than 300 people — most of them non-Jews — crowded a ballroom in downtown Denver Monday to… - Colorado congressional candidate says he's facing a wave of antisemitic attacks onlineDENVER — Ever since launching his campaign for Congress, Dr. Shimon Blau, an independent running for Colorado's 1st Congressional District, said he has faced a barrage of antisemitic comments online. "We expected a little bit of of hate…
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Colorado candidates focus on healthcare, immigration, taxes(The Center Square) - Colorado’s 1st Congressional District race, which is focusing on healthcare, immigration and taxes, could help determine whether Republicans keep their razor-thin House majority. The House currently has 218…
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10.75%median
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
30%65%
Median 45.43%Middle half 41.97% – 48.29%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions