Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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CA-51 House election: Sara Jacobs vote percent
The odds
64.45%median
54%74%
Median 64.45%Middle half 61.92% – 67.12%
How the odds have moved
Median: 64% on Oct 19, 64.45% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 58% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | |||
| At least 60% | 88% | 83¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | ||
| At least 62% | 75% | 70¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | ||
| At least 64% | 55% | 50¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | ||
| At least 66% | 35% | 30¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 207 | |
| At least 68% | 18% | 13¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | ||
| At least 70% | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| At least 72% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Sara Jacobs
Search ›- Press Release: Rep. Sara Jacobs Discusses AI Competition in Newsweek Op-EdSara Jacobs argues Congress should balance AI safety and innovation to build trusted American systems. Sara Jacobs outlines AI priorities: Rep. Sara Jacobs said in a Newsweek op-ed that Congress has “misdiagnosed” competition with China…
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No Kings Rallies Across San Diego Stress Early Voter TurnoutBy City News Service – Times of San Diego / October 17, 2026 Demonstrators assembled at dozens of “No Kings” rallies in San Diego County throughout the day Saturday to protest the Trump administration and encourage voters to cast their… -
Trump and Republicans show a more female-friendly side of the story with new E.O. on women's healthOn Monday, President Donald Trump signed an executive order instituting what appears to be a historic first: the creation of a special division of the National Institutes of Health (NIH) dedicated solely to women’s health. The plan is… -
Senator Adam Schiff Visited Point Loma High to Discuss Immigration Enforcement and ICEBy: Dani Miskell / 10News / Oct. 15, 2026 U.S. Sen. Adam Schiff visited Point Loma High School on Thursday, October 15, to discuss how immigration enforcement has impacted San Diego schools. The visit marked the first time in 13 years that… -
‘No Kings’ events spread around San Diego to push voter turnout for NovemberDemonstrators assembled at dozens of “No Kings” rallies in San Diego County throughout the day Saturday to protest the Trump administration and encourage voters to cast their ballots as early as possible. The events varied from walking to… -
Sen. Adam Schiff visits Point Loma High School to discuss immigration enforcementPOINT LOMA (KGTV) — U.S. Sen. Adam Schiff visited Point Loma High School on Thursday to discuss how immigration enforcement has impacted San Diego schools. The visit marked the first time in 13 years that a U.S. senator visited a school in… -
San Diego school leaders, Sen. Schiff condemn ICE arrests near schoolsSenator Adam Schiff joined congressional colleagues at Point Loma High School to demand an end to ICE enforcement near schools. NBC 7’s Shelby Bremer has the story. Sen. Adam Schiff visited San Diego Thursday, stopping at Point Loma High… -
Point Loma High students get chance to question US senatorA high school civics project brought U.S. Sen. Adam Schiff to Point Loma High School Thursday. “We are the next generation of voters,” senior Molly Gallagher told about 100 of her fellow students. The project was hers, done in conjunction… -
70+ House Democrats Demand Pentagon Answer for Iran Wedding MassacreMourners gather around the coffin of one of the victims of a likely US airstrike on a wedding party, on September 3, 2026 in the village of Kuhestak, Iran. The September 1 strike, which killed five women and children and wounded more than… -
77 U.S. lawmakers ask for answers over deadly attacks on civilians in IranKABUL: Three Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives, backed by 74 other members of Congress, have called on U.S. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth to provide explanations regarding three deadly attacks on civilians in Iran. In… -
US lawmakers demand answers from Trump administration over attacks on Iranian civiliansPars Today – Seventy-seven US lawmakers have called on the administration and the Department of War to explain attacks on civilians during the war with Iran and the deaths of several civilians. According to Pars Today, citing IRNA…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions