Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
Install
CA-48 House election: Jim Desmond vote percent
The odds
43.06%median
36%56%
Median 43.06%Middle half 41.07% – 46.69%
How the odds have moved
Median: 42.93% on Oct 19, 43.06% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 93% | 88¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 40% | 83% | 78¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | ||
| At least 42% | 68% | 63¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 200 | |
| At least 44% | 34% | 34¢ | $2.94 | 1.2K | ||
| At least 46% | 30% | 25¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 200 | |
| At least 48% | 16% | ▲ 1 | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | |
| At least 50% | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 10.00 |
| At least 52% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | |||
| At least 54% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Jim Desmond
Search ›-
Jim Desmond seeks new Congressional District 48 seatAlmost All the News, Part of the Time. Since 1946. Jim Desmond seeks new Congressional District 48 seat By JP Crumrine Proposition 50 changed the boundaries of California’s 50 congressional districts. The Hill communities are now part of… -
Exclusive / Dems make a Kansas play as GOP eyes a California seatDemocrat Don Coover is down by three points against incumbent Republican Rep. Derek Schmidt, within the 3.9% margin of error, according to Democratic polling conducted in mid-October and shared with Semafor. House Democrats are making a… -
How Much Taxpayer Money Jim Desmond Spends Advertising HimselfOur North County reporter Tigist Layne reveals San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond spent at least $250,000 of taxpayer funds advertising himself and his perspectives on social media and television. Some of the money went to Target… -
Candidates compete for Issa's California seat in U.S. HouseIssa, a Republican from San Diego County, opted not to run for another term in the newly redrawn district. Editor's note: This concludes this week's series on the June 2 primary election in California. The stories include comments from… -
Opinion: Voters must rein in San Diego County board’s hard-left turnTwo races for supervisor will play a key role in deciding San Diego County’s finances and politics over the next four years. For these officially nonpartisan seats, turning a 3-2 Democratic majority into a 4-1 supermajority would further… -
County Supervisor Jim Desmond flies himself to campaign events in a plane he bought from two donorsCalifornia’s new 48th Congressional District is big, but County Supervisor Jim Desmond has an unusual advantage when he needs to cross it: his private plane. Desmond also bought the plane from two long-time supporters — Steve Flynn and… -
Why the race for Congress in San Diego looks like a time warp to pre-Trump politicsThe insurgent left has come in all forms in California and across the country this cycle. But a different story is playing out in the open 48th Congressional District, which straddles San Diego and Riverside counties. Democrat Marni von… -
Von Wilpert seeks open Congressional District 48 seat - Idyllwild Town CrierAlmost All the News, Part of the Time. Since 1946. Von Wilpert seeks open Congressional District 48 seat By JP Crumrine Marni von Wilpert is the Democratic candidate seeking to represent California’s Congressional District 48 in the House… -
Is this America’s most normal congressional race? San Diego candidates run on classic platformsDemocrat Marni von Wilpert and Republican Jim Desmond are sticking to conventional centrist platforms in the closely watched San Diego House race. The insurgent left has come in all forms in California and across the country this cycle… -
Desmond Has Spent a Lot of County Money on Ads About HimselfCounty Supervisor Jim Desmond, who is termed out and running for the 48th Congressional District seat, spent almost $250,000 in public funds the first eight months of the year to expand his already strong social media presence. Desmond… -
Jim Desmond and Marni von Wilpert battle for control of newly redrawn 48th Congressional District seatSAN DIEGO COUNTY (KGTV)- A congressional seat that has been held by Republicans for years is now up for grabs, and the outcome could help determine which party controls the House. The 48th District, which was held by Darrell Issa, has been… -
Corruption claims are defining attack ads in this high-profile race for CongressThe San Diego region’s most competitive congressional election could prove a referendum on national politics and the Trump administration. But another theme is defining messaging in the race: ethics and transparency in how the candidates…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
16.22%median
8%28%
Median 16.22%Middle half 14.31% – 18.14%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.51%median
36%56%
Median 44.51%Middle half 41.5% – 47.09%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.75%median
0%16%
Median 10.75%Middle half 8.41% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.94%median
7%40%
Median 13.94%Middle half 10.9% – 17.52%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.05%median
30%65%
Median 46.05%Middle half 43.07% – 48.94%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions