Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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CA-44 House election: Nanette Barragán vote percent
The odds
74.54%median
66%86%
Median 74.54%Middle half 72.24% – 76.83%
How the odds have moved
Median: 74.3% on Oct 19, 74.54% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 68% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 70% | 92% | ▲ 1 | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | |
| At least 72% | 78% | ▲ 1 | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 800 |
| At least 74% | 56% | ▲ 1 | 52¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | 200 |
| At least 76% | 33% | ▲ 1 | 28¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | |
| At least 78% | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | ||
| At least 80% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | |||
| At least 82% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 84% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Nanette Barragán
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WATCH: Longer Video DEBUNKS Long Beach ICE ‘Victim’ Sob Story as Ricardo Gonzalez is Shown Assaulting AgentThe initial clips that circulated widely captured Gonzalez pinned face-down in a gutter, screaming that his arm was broken and that he was a U.S. citizen. — End Wokeness (@EndWokeness) October 22, 2026 Those videos, shared by groups such… -
'Intended to intimidate': AOC responds with ice-cold words after mystery envelopes are sent to her office and those of 8 top lawmakersRep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez said suspicious mailings to congressional offices appeared aimed at intimidating public servants after a letter reached her Bronx district office. She and at least eight other lawmakers announced on October 20… -
Rep. Barragán Calls for Release of Americans Held After West Bank Olive HarvestRep. Nanette Barragán, D-San Pedro, welcomed the release of New York congressional candidate Brad Lander from Israeli custody in the West Bank Wednesday and called for the immediate release of other Americans detained while helping… - At least nine more lawmakers say they were targets of suspicious mail - BreitbartOct. 21 (UPI) — At least nine U.S. lawmakers announced Tuesday that suspicious envelopes had been mailed to their offices, the latest in a wave of similar mailings targeting federal legislators from both parties in the past week. More than…
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Donald Trump signs American Music Tourism Act into law, tasking Commerce Department with promoting travel to US music sites and eventsPresident Donald Trump has signed the American Music Tourism Act into law. The White House confirmed that Trump signed the bill, S. 195, on October 9. The law requires the US Department of Commerce to identify the US locations and events… - Directors Guild Lobbies on AI Bill and Tax CreditThe Directors Guild of America Inc. (DGA) filed a lobbying report for the third quarter of 2026 covering intellectual property protections, a draft artificial intelligence bill on rights of attribution and integrity, the cultural exception…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions