Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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CA-43 House election: Maxine Waters vote percent
The odds
80.47%median
70%90%
Median 80.47%Middle half 77.25% – 83.31%
How the odds have moved
Median: 79.61% on Oct 19, 80.47% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 72% | 95% | ▲ 1 | 92¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 493 |
| At least 74% | 92% | ▲ 1 | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | |
| At least 76% | 83% | ▲ 1 | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | |
| At least 78% | 71% | ▲ 1 | 66¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | |
| At least 80% | 55% | ▲ 1 | 50¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | |
| At least 82% | 36% | ▲ 1 | 31¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | |
| At least 84% | 20% | ▲ 1 | 15¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | |
| At least 86% | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| At least 88% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Maxine Waters
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Maxine Waters Is Maxed Out: Why the Congresswoman Should Strongly Consider RetirementBy Eugene H. Wright, Jr. When Maxine Waters famously declared she was ‘reclaiming my time’ while grilling elites on Capitol Hill, most assumed she was just wielding a rule of parliamentary procedure. Few realized she would take that slogan… -
POLITICO Pro Q&A: Rep. Maxine WatersRep. Maxine Waters (D-Calif.) in her office on Capitol Hill in Washington on Tuesday, Sept. 24, 2024.Angelina Katsanis/POLITICO Rep. Maxine Waters is preparing to roll out a sweeping policy agenda if she retakes the chairship of the House… -
19 Financial Services Democrats back Maxine Waters for top spot on panel - Live Updates - POLITICOAll but three returning Democrats on the panel have signed onto a letter supporting Waters' position as committee's party leader. Nineteen Democrats on the House Financial Services Committee have signed a letter backing Rep Maxine Waters… -
The Sherrod Brown seniority showdownDelivered daily by 8 a.m., Morning Money examines the latest news in finance, politics and policy — and on Fridays, Morning Money: Capital Risk highlights the downstream effects on markets. By JASPER GOODMAN and VICTORIA GUIDA 10/21/2026… -
Black Caucus Financial Services members back Maxine Waters as panel's top Democrat - Live Updates - POLITICOWaters’ allies are also discussing other letters of support, including potentially one from a broader group of House Financial Services members. Seven members of the Congressional Black Caucus serving on the House Financial Services… - Democrats back Maxine Waters to lead banking committee.The Greatest News Site On The Internet. Home of CFP Nation. Democrats back Maxine Waters to lead banking committee. Posted by Kane on October 20, 2026 11:33 am
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Democrats split over House-passed community banking packageRep. Bill Foster and other House Financial Services Committee Democrats broke with panel ranking member Maxine Waters in supporting the community banking package.Alex Brandon/AP The House passed legislation Tuesday aimed at easing… - ELDER: Critic says Trump is 'racist' and 'demeans' black politiciansMany have turned a blind eye to similar allegations against popular Democratic politicians A caller to my radio show rattled off President Donald Trump’s supposed “racist” sins: Trump called African countries “s–thole” countries; he…
- NY Times' Front Page Screams Over 'Far Right' 'Hard Right' 'Ultraconservatives'There was some good old-school New York Times labeling bias on Wednesday’s front page regarding California Rep. Kevin McCarthy’s fight to become House Speaker when the Republican Party takes over control of Congress next month: “McCarthy…
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Trump a ‘racist’? No, he’s just the first GOP president to fight backA caller to my show rattled off President Donald Trump’s supposed “racist” sins: Trump called African countries “s–thole” countries; he refused to rent to blacks; he said he did not want blacks counting his money at his casinos – he wanted… -
More Maxine Waters Town Halls: Lots of Noise and No Real AnswersDemocrat Rep. Maxine Waters (CA-43) is the only congressional representative in the South Bay section of Los Angeles County currently holding in-person town halls. Rep. Waters has no reason to hide, and she could ignore the constituents… - Michael Savage Article Archives - October 2026Newsmax.com is one of the nation's leading independent news site focusing on breaking news, politics, finance, personal health, technology and entertainment. It provides news and analysis from Dick Morris, Bill O'Reilly, Christopher Ruddy…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions