Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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CA-26 House election: Jacqui Irwin vote percent
The odds
60.95%median
52%72%
Median 60.95%Middle half 58.55% – 63.5%
How the odds have moved
Median: 60.87% on Oct 19, 60.95% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 96% | 93¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 56% | 92% | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 58% | 81% | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 200 | |
| At least 60% | 61% | 56¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | ||
| At least 62% | 39% | 34¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | ||
| At least 64% | 21% | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | ||
| At least 66% | 9% | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | ||
| At least 68% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | |||
| At least 70% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Jacqui Irwin
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2026 elections: What you need to know about LA County’s state Senate, Assembly racesThere are 32 legislative races – eight state Senate and 24 Assembly seats – on the Nov. 3 ballot where Los Angeles County voters will help decide the winner during this year’s general election. Eight of these races have no incumbent… -
California to ban sale of disposable vapes from 2028 with fines up to $2,000 per violationOn September 28, the governor of California, Gavin Newsom, ratified the AB 762 law, promoted by Assemblywoman Jacqui Irwin, which prohibits the sale of disposable nicotine vapes in the state starting January 1, 2028. This legislation… -
VC Election 2026: Pastor, career politician run for Congressional Dist. 26Sam Gallucci and Jacqui Irwin are in the race for California’s 26th Congressional District. The race for the Dist. 26 Congressional seat held by Democrat Julia Brownley since 2012 features a Thousand Oaks Democrat who has won six two-year…
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Median 45.26%Middle half 41.89% – 48.21%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions