Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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CA-16 House election: Sam Liccardo vote percent
The odds
80.27%median
68%88%
Median 80.27%Middle half 78.21% – 82.26%
How the odds have moved
Median: 79.41% on Oct 19, 80.27% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 70% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 72% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 74% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 76% | 93% | ▲ 1 | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | |
| At least 78% | 78% | ▲ 1 | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | |
| At least 80% | 54% | ▲ 1 | 49¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | |
| At least 82% | 28% | ▲ 1 | 23¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | |
| At least 84% | 9% | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | ||
| At least 86% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Sam Liccardo
Search ›-
Bay Area leaders go nuclear on 49ers owner Jed York about prostitution bust: ‘Give the money back. Open the file.’Bay Area Democrats who received campaign cash from 49ers owner Jed York are facing fresh pressure to give it back, amid questions about his prostitution-related arrest and push to unseal the records. The campaign takes aim at Democratic… -
Elon Musk Just Dumped Another $76 Million Into the MidtermsElon Musk gave his personal political committee, America PAC, more than $76 million in the first two weeks of October to boost Republicans in the final stretch of the midterms, according to a pre-election report the PAC filed Thursday… -
Silicon Valley Democrats demand investigation into Starlink restrictions in UkraineA group of Silicon Valley U.S. House Democrats on Friday demanded the White House investigate recent interruptions of Elon Musk’s Starlink internet service in Ukraine in a letter to White House chief of staff Susie Wiles. The letter… - Starshield slowdown probe sought by Silicon Valley DemocratsIn a letter sent to White House chief of staff Susie Wiles, three lawmakers demanded information about a reported slowdown of the government satellite network in Ukraine. 10/23/2026 10:40 AM EDT A trio of House Democrats representing…
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Silicon Valley Democrats press White House to investigate Starlink curbs in UkraineA group of House Democrats representing Silicon Valley asked Susie Wiles on Friday to open a broad review of Starlink disruptions in Ukraine. The letter, shared only with CNBC, was organized by California Democrats Sam Liccardo, Ro Khanna… -
Ukraine Officials Complain Starshield Restrictions Still Not Lifted, Despite Trump AssertionsUkraine says its military forces continue to experience disruptions to critical battlefield communications, a day after President Trump declared that these restrictions had been removed. "President Trump called Elon Musk on Wednesday and… - Can a Political Attack Ad Go Too Far?A political attack ad has fractured Ohio Republicans: Gov. Mike DeWine condemned it and called for it to be removed, and Sen. Jon Husted said he would not have run it, while Vance defended the ad and told Republicans who objected to "stop…
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Rep. Sam Liccardo’s bill to reinstate protections for Afghan refugees has stalled. Now, he’s turning to an obscure procedural rule to force a voteSilicon Valley Rep. Sam Liccardo’s bill to make Afghan immigrants once again eligible for temporary protected status has gone nowhere since it was introduced this summer, leaving more than 8,000 refugees nationally at risk for deportation… -
Russia Plans To Expand Defence Cooperation With TalibanRussian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova says Moscow plans to expand cooperation with the Taliban in counterterrorism, anti-narcotics efforts and defence. Speaking at a press conference in Moscow on Wednesday, 21 October… -
Menlo Park mayor makes 2nd attempt to reach Bonta about controversial high-rise project on Willow RoadMenlo Park Mayor Betsy Nash is still hoping state Attorney General Rob Bonta will visit the site of a controversial high-rise project. She extended a second invitation to visit 80 Willow Road, the former Sunset Magazine campus, and learn… -
Uzbekistan, Norway Hold Talks On Afghanistan & Regional Security In OsloUzbek and Norwegian officials have held two days of talks in Oslo on Afghanistan and regional security, discussing engagement, trade, energy, transit and regional connectivity. The meeting was organised at the initiative of the Norwegian… -
Six New Polio Cases Detected In AfghanistanThe United Nations says six new polio cases have been recorded in Kandahar, Nangarhar and Kabul, bringing Afghanistan’s total for 2026 to 42 ahead of World Polio Day. With the new cases, the number of people infected with the poliovirus in…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions