Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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CA-10 House election: Mark DeSaulnier vote percent
The odds
72.96%median
62%82%
Median 72.96%Middle half 70.58% – 75.32%
How the odds have moved
Median: 72.34% on Oct 19, 72.96% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 64% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 66% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 68% | 93% | ▲ 1 | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | |
| At least 70% | 81% | ▲ 1 | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | |
| At least 72% | 62% | ▲ 1 | 57¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | |
| At least 74% | 38% | ▲ 1 | 33¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | |
| At least 76% | 19% | ▲ 1 | 14¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | |
| At least 78% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| At least 80% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Mark DeSaulnier
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Contra Costa Co.: East Bay Congressman Slams "Weaponization" Of U.S. DojU.S. Rep. Mark DeSaulnier, D-Walnut Creek, added his voice to those objecting to letters sent by the U.S. Department of Justice to voting officials in California demanding that they set aside certain ballots so they can be reviewed by… -
DOJ orders California county registrars to sequester alleged noncitizen ballotsBefore Wedgewood Polls acknowledged fabricating its data, a person behind the firm asked the media to scrutinize its work. Consent pledges are becoming a new trend as fraternities seek to educate others on what’s permissible. Scholars say… -
SF: Pelosi Latest Member Of Congress To Receive Suspicious Letter At District OfficeHouse Speaker Emerita Nancy Pelosi, D-San Francisco, is the latest member of Congress to receive a suspicious letter at her district office after similar cases have been reported recently elsewhere involving a powdery substance sent to… -
Nancy Pelosi’s San Francisco office latest California target of suspicious mailingsSpeaker Emerita Nancy Pelosi is seen in the U.S. Capitol in February. Pelosi’s San Francisco district office received a suspicious letter Wednesday, her spokesperson said. It comes as the FBI and U.S. Postal Inspection Service investigate… -
Pelosi's office receives 'suspicious' mail, latest elected official to receive mysterious packageSAN FRANCISCO - DECEMBER 15: Stacks of boxes holding cards and letters are seen at the U.S. Post Office sort center December 15, 2008 in San Francisco, California. On its busiest day of the year, the U.S. Postal Service is expecting to… -
Exclusive / Three returning Democratic committee leaders still behind on duesRep. Maxine Waters, D-Calif., is one of three House Democrats who have yet to pay their DCCC dues in full despite plans to return to top committee jobs next year, according to a draft of the DCCC’s September dues report seen by Semafor… -
Rep. Mike Thompson’s Napa office receives threatening letter containing white powderRep. Mike Thompson was one of more than three dozen members of Congress across the nation to receive threatening letters containing unidentified white powder, his office revealed Monday afternoon. The envelope was mailed to Thompson’s… -
DeSaulnier to talk affordability at virtual town hallThe Tri-Valley congressman, who is seeking reelection in November, will provide updates on his efforts to address the rising cost of living. Tri-Valley Congressman Mark DeSaulnier (D-Concord) is set to host a virtual town hall on… -
Security official warns of more suspicious letters to lawmakersA wave of suspicious letters mailed to members of Congress is likely to continue, House officials warned Monday, describing a white powder in the envelopes. So far, “none of the letters received by Congressional offices have been… -
Congressman DeSaulnier’s Statement on Suspicious Envelope Sent to His Walnut Creek District OfficeWalnut Creek, CA – Congressman Mark DeSaulnier (CA-10) issued the following statement after a suspicious envelope was received in his Walnut Creek district office Friday afternoon. “Following reports from U.S.… Congressman DeSaulnier’s… -
Suspicious envelope received at Rep. DeSaulnier’s Walnut Creek officeAlise is a general assignment reporter with a focus on covering government, elections, housing, crime, courts and entertainment in San Francisco and on the Peninsula. Alise is a Bay Area native from San Carlos. She studied history at… -
House Ethics Boosts Staff on Heels of Scandal-Heavy CongressBloomberg Government News The House Ethics Committee is hiring additional staff after its bipartisan leaders secured a budget increase after handling a number of high-profile investigations, including several into lawmakers who ultimately…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions