Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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CA-06 House election: Richard Pan vote percent
The odds
55.82%median
46%66%
Median 55.82%Middle half 53.4% – 59%
How the odds have moved
Median: 56.18% on Oct 19, 55.82% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 97% | ▼ 1 | 93¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 50% | 93% | ▼ 1 | 90¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | |
| At least 52% | 86% | ▼ 2 | 81¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | |
| At least 54% | 71% | ▼ 4 | 66¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | |
| At least 56% | 48% | ▼ 8 | 44¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 193 |
| At least 58% | 33% | ▼ 4 | 28¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | |
| At least 60% | 18% | ▼ 3 | 13¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | |
| At least 62% | 8% | ▼ 2 | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | |
| At least 64% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Richard Pan
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Kiley: I Voted Against Tariffs That Raise Costs, My Opponent Voted for California Gas Tax That Raised PricesOn Wednesday’s broadcast of CNN’s “The Story Is,” Rep. Kevin Kiley (I-CA) said that he voted against tariffs that have raised costs, while his Democratic opponent “voted for a gas tax increase that has more than doubled the gas tax The… -
Letters to the Editor: Richard Pan’s vaccine bills helped save kids from needless illnessesLos Angeles Times To the editor: Mark Z Barabak's column highlighting Dr Richard Pan's run for Congress greatly resonates with me (âIs there a doctor in the House? Backlash to Trump, RFK Jr may boost their political ranks,â Oct I was a… -
‘Red to Blue’ Democrats rake in more than GOP rivals in third quarterIn their quest to flip the House, Democrats have sought to expand the battleground map by targeting seats in red-leaning terrain, and their candidates in these races dominated third-quarter fundraising, new filings show. But many of their… -
Harris hits the trailYour afternoon must-read briefing on politics and government in the Golden State You will now start receiving email updates You are already subscribed 10/14/2026 03:56 PM EDT Kamala Harris will campaign with battleground Senate and… -
Super PAC that backed Shah is now spending to help Bennett314 Action Fund spending $465,000 to help oust Kean in NJ-7 By David Wildstein, October 14 2026 12:30 pm 314 Action Fund, a national super PAC that supports Democratic candidates with backgrounds in science, technology, engineering, and… -
Kiley enters blue territory in 6th Congressional District race against Pan(FOX40.COM) — With an incumbent moving to bluer pastures after California’s redistricting, a newly-independent House member is facing a tough test against a former state senator for the open seat in California’s 6th Congressional District… -
Top 5 unconventional House candidates who are taking their shot at CongressElection Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3. A former NFL kicker running against a doctor who once treated his team and a Dallas pastor who spent decades preaching about social justice are among the more unusual House candidates competing for a seat… - Vang-Piker fundraiser scrutiny, rail shake-up: What Sacramento talked about Oct. 5-11Sacramento neighbors had plenty to argue about this week — a congressional fundraiser that split the City Council, a shake-up at California’s high-speed rail agency, an ICE arrest at a community college, Kamala Harris swinging through town…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions