Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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CA-01 House election: Mike McGuire vote percent
The odds
57.45%median
48%68%
Median 57.45%Middle half 54.76% – 60.08%
How the odds have moved
Median: 56.55% on Oct 19, 57.45% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 94% | 92¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 52% | 92% | 88¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 54% | 82% | 77¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | ||
| At least 56% | 65% | 60¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | ||
| At least 58% | 45% | 40¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | ||
| At least 60% | 26% | 21¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | ||
| At least 62% | 13% | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | ||
| At least 64% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | |||
| At least 66% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Mike McGuire
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State Sen. Mike McGuire focuses on flipping the House, holding Trump accountable in District 1 raceState Senate President Pro Tempore Mike McGuire addresses reporters after Gov. Gavin Newsom signed a package of measures to redraw the state's Congressional districts in Sacramento, Calif., Thursday, Aug. 21, 2025. California’s… - Newsom, Pelosi Rally San Francisco Crowd Against Prop 39 Voter ID MeasureTwo state senators running for Congress, Scott Wiener of San Francisco and Mike McGuire of Santa Rosa, rounded out the roster of speakers. The large turnout of elected officials underscored how central Proposition 39 has become to…
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Marin Co.: Measure P Would Expand Public Responsibility For Childhood EducationAffordable and high-quality early childhood education is economically unattainable in Marin County, so local government should step in to fund it, according to supporters of a 15-year parcel tax on the Nov. 3 ballot. Opponents of the tax… - Congressional Candidate Mike McGuire | Vulture Migrations | Reno City FCWe hear State Sen. Mike McGuire's vision for California's 1st Congressional District. Plus, thousands of turkey vultures are about to head south. We'll hear why. Finally, professional soccer is returning to Reno in two years. Explore the…
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‘A representative, not a politician.’ Rep. James Gallagher looks to represent the new Congressional District 1Then-Republican Assembly Leader James Gallagher urging lawmakers to reject a package of measures to redraw the state's Congressional districts at the Capitol in Sacramento, Calif., Thursday, Aug. 21, 2025. California’s Congressional… -
Why this Northern California tribe is fighting the Great Redwood TrailThe murky, magnificent Eel River was once a highway for the Wailaki people, who navigated by canoe and hauled goods between villages in cone-shaped baskets. But the tribe was forced out during the Gold Rush and, decades later, a railroad… -
Honey Lake Valley Recreation Authority Board meets at 4 p.m. Tuesday, Oct. 20in the City Council Chambers, 66 N. Lassen St. Sierra Pacific Industries notifies landowners of an upcoming timber harvest plan. Publisher’s note: LassenNews is not a newspaper in general… According to a statement from the League of Women… -
Lassen Humane Society Garage Sale this weekend and nextThe Lassen Human Society hosts its annual garage this weekend and next at Sierra Desert Properties, 613 Main St. in Susanville. Sierra Pacific Industries notifies landowners of an upcoming timber harvest plan. Publisher’s note: LassenNews… -
Lassne County Board of Supervisors meet TuesdayThe Lassen County Board of Supervisors meet at 9 a.m. Tuesday, Oct. 20 at the Board Chambers, 707 Nevada St. Sierra Pacific Industries notifies landowners of an upcoming timber harvest plan. Publisher’s note: LassenNews is not a newspaper… -
Hadwick’s ‘Community Conversations’ visits North StateAccording to a newsletter from Assemblymember Heather Hadwick, “Let’s talk‚ Sierra‚ Lassen and Modoc counties!” Hadwick wrote, “I’m looking forward to spending time with folks in Sierra‚ Lassen‚ and Modoc counties next week for three more… -
McGuire backs out of Plumas County candidate forumCongressman James Gallagher called out State Senator Mike McGuire for backing out of next week’s candidate forum in Quincy hosted by the Plumas County League of Women Voters. In August, the League invited Gallagher and McGuire to… -
California Enacts Reforms to Dungeness Crab Fishery ManagementBy California Fisheries & Seafood Institute (CFSI) October 16, 2026 | 3 min to read California Governor Gavin Newsom has signed Senate Bill 1393 into law, implementing several changes to the state’s Dungeness crab fishery based on…
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions