Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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AR-04 House election: James Russell vote percent
The odds
32.06%median
22%42%
Median 32.06%Middle half 29.27% – 35%
How the odds have moved
Median: 32% on Oct 19, 32.06% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 24% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 26% | 95% | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 28% | 85% | 80¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | ||
| At least 30% | 70% | 65¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | ||
| At least 32% | 51% | 46¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 200 | |
| At least 34% | 34% | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 400 | |
| At least 36% | 17% | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | ||
| At least 38% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| At least 40% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AR- House, James Russell
Search ›- Early Voting Now Open for Southeast Arkansas November General ElectionEarly voting for Arkansas’s November 3rd general election began Monday, October 19th, giving registered voters across Southeast Arkansas an opportunity to cast their ballots ahead of Election Day. Early voting will continue through Monday…
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Senators help PB Arsenal break ground on Plainview GateThe Pine Bluff Arsenal took another step in its revitalization with the groundbreaking of a $24.6-million access control point at its Plainview Gate on Monday (Oct. 19). Sens. John Boozman and Tom Cotton, both R-Ark., part of the… -
November 2026 ArkLaMiss election guideMONROE, La. (KNOE) - Voters all across the U.S. will go to the polls on Nov. 3 for the 2026 midterm elections. Here is a look at what voters will be deciding in both Louisiana and Arkansas. You can get election results here, and also learn… - Farm Credit Administration Lacks Quorum With Two Seats VacantThe Farm Credit Administration's three-member board has only one sitting member, serving on an expired term, and two vacant seats, leaving the regulator of the Farm Credit System and Farmer Mac without the quorum required by law to conduct…
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Bruce Westerman faces challenger James Russell in debate5newsonline.com Bruce Westerman faces challenger James Russell in debate To stream 5NEWS on your phone, you need the 5NEWS app. Download the 5NEWS app Next up in 5 Example video title will go here for this video Before You Leave, Check… -
House candidates criticize Trump Russia diesel deal, split on other issuesChemistry students in Karen Ferrer’s class at St. Joseph High School recently took part in a colorful experiment. We were on our way back from the cabin this afternoon when Jesse exclaimed, “Look, a lamb.” Candidates for Arkansas’ 4th… -
ELECTION 2026 | Republican Westerman, Democrat Russell face off in 4th District debateTexarkana Gazette ELECTION 2026 | Republican Westerman, Democrat Russell face off in 4th District debate Topics span war, health, data centers WASHINGTON -- U.S. Rep. Bruce Westerman, R-Ark., leaned on his legislative expertise during… -
Westerman, Russell criticize Trump’s Russia diesel deal, split on other issues in debateRepublican U.S. Rep. Bruce Westerman and Democratic challenger James Russell criticized President Donald Trump’s plan to purchase diesel from Russia but split on who’s to blame for rising gas prices as the two met for a debate on Monday… -
Candidates for U.S. House seat from South Arkansas criticize Trump Russia diesel deal, split on other issuesCandidates for Arkansas’ 4th Congressional District James Russell (D), left, and U.S. Rep. Bruce Westerman (R), right, debate on Monday, Oct. 12, 2026 at the Arkansas TV studios in Conway, Arkansas. Republican U.S. Rep. Bruce Westerman and… -
WATCH: Election 2026 Arkansas TV Debate U.S. Congressional District 4The Arkansas Democrat-Gazette WATCH: Election 2026 Arkansas TV Debate U.S. Congressional District 4 Watch the Election 2026 U.S. Congressional District 4 debate featuring candidates James Russell (D) and incumbent Congressman Bruce… -
Candidates for US House seat in Arkansas criticize Trump Russia diesel deal, split on other issuesRepublican U.S. Rep. Bruce Westerman and Democratic challenger James Russell criticized President Donald Trump's plan to purchase diesel from Russia but split on who's to blame for rising gas prices as the two met for a debate on Monday…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions