Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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AR-02 House election: Chris Jones vote percent
The odds
46.5%median
36%54%
Median 46.5%Middle half 44.14% – 49%
How the odds have moved
Median: 44.94% on Oct 20, 46.5% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 1.0K | ||
| At least 40% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 42% | 91% | ▲ 1 | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 8.00 |
| At least 44% | 77% | ▲ 1 | 72¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 1.4K |
| At least 46% | 56% | ▲ 1 | 51¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 408 |
| At least 48% | 34% | ▲ 1 | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 616 |
| At least 50% | 17% | ▲ 1 | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 63.00 |
| At least 52% | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AR- House, Chris Jones
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Dem underdog Chris Jones builds momentum in Arkansas House raceCNN Dem underdog Chris Jones builds momentum in Arkansas House race Incumbent Republican Congressman French Hill is in a close Arkansas House race with Democratic hopeful Chris Jones. Jones aims to be first Black lawmaker from Arkansas in… -
Meet the Candidates: Chris Jones(Lansing) -- KMA News continues its "Meet the Candidates" series, featuring the candidate running in key races in the November general election. Today, we turn our attention to the race for Iowa's agriculture secretary, with a report on… -
314 Action Fund Endorses Chris Jones for Arkansas’s 2nd Congressional District$17 is our average donation! Today 314 Action Fund, the nation’s only organization dedicated to recruiting, training and electing doctors and scientists, endorsed Chris Jones for Arkansas’s 2nd Congressional District. Click an option to… -
Arkansas has never elected a Black member of Congress. Chris Jones could change thatThe physicist, nonprofit executive and former gubernatorial nominee is running a competitive campaign against Republican Rep. French Hill. As Election Day nears, Black history is within reach in a very competitive U.S. House race in… -
Iowa’s cancer problem is scrambling the midtermsAs the debate season kicked off in Iowa’s heated gubernatorial race, one question seemed to animate and, in some ways, unify the candidates. “What are the immediate and specific steps that you would take to combat Iowa’s cancer crisis?”… - Chris Jones Remarks At #VoteEarly Event In Iowa City"Make sure you vote. Clean water is on the ballot." - Chris Jones, Democratic candidate for Iowa Secretary of Agriculture, Saturday, October 17, 2026, Iowa City, Iowa https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=282lCDbuDPw Signs at the event. Early…
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This is a piece about the elections, but at first it won’t seem like itA powerful delegation, but here’s my question: why do they seem so powerless? On Jan. 1, 2014, the first Arkansans began enjoying health insurance coverage under Arkansas’s innovative and bipartisan version of Medicaid expansion. For over… -
1-on-1 with (U) Scott Morgan, Kansas Secretary of State candidateKCTV 1-on-1 with (U) Scott Morgan, Kansas Secretary of State candidate ‘Survive and advance’: Young mom shares breast cancer journey Chris Jones speaks to attacking Seahawks offense ahead of tough matchup Eric Bieniemy talks on K9… -
A scientist was pushed out for studying Iowa’s water. Now he’s running to regulate it.Paddlers skim along the water to the sound of gulls. Small waves splash against driftwood and the banks of the Des Moines River. A flotilla of experienced kayakers, canoers who built their own boats and infrequent recreators expands and… -
Iowa ag secretary candidates differ on water quality, fertilizer rulesDES MOINES, Iowa (Gray Media Iowa State Capitol Bureau) — The candidates for Iowa secretary of agriculture have different ideas about how to improve the state’s water quality, including how farmers use fertilizer. Democrat Chris Jones says… -
In Arkansas’ 2nd District race, Chris Jones outraises French Hill in July-September quarterNorthwest Arkansas Democrat-Gazette In Arkansas’ 2nd District race, Chris Jones outraises French Hill in July-September quarter -
This November, Choose The Democratic PartyKSOM Shop Local And Save This November, Choose The Democratic Party A “no” vote opposes Amendment 1, thus maintaining the requirement of a simple majority vote in both chambers of the state legislature to pass a bill that would increase…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions