Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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AL-02 House election: Shomari Figures vote percent
The odds
47.75%median
38%58%
Median 47.75%Middle half 45.06% – 50.52%
How the odds have moved
Median: 47.27% on Oct 20, 47.75% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 97% | ▼ 1 | 93¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 42% | 94% | ▼ 1 | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | |
| At least 44% | 84% | ▼ 1 | 79¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 10.00 |
| At least 46% | 68% | ▼ 2 | 63¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 800 |
| At least 48% | 48% | ▼ 2 | 43¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 456 |
| At least 50% | 29% | ▼ 1 | 25¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 4.3K |
| At least 52% | 14% | ▼ 2 | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | |
| At least 54% | 6% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | |
| At least 56% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AL- House, Shomari Figures
Search ›- Press Release: Shomari Figures Calls for Major Disaster Declaration After Hurricane Isaias DamageFigures seeks disaster declaration: Congressman Shomari C. Figures said he sent a letter to President Trump asking the White House to approve Governor Kay Ivey’s request for a Major Disaster Declaration after Hurricane Isaias. He said the…
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Democrats rally behind Shomari FiguresWSFA Democrats rally behind Shomari Figures Fever Athlete of the Week Kole Moody named ninth Fever Athlete of the Week for 2026 -
Pro-Israel Dem PAC, two liberal billionaires spending millions to prop up Shomari FiguresResidents of Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District are facing a deluge of political advertisements ahead of November 3, with Democrat spending significantly outpacing Republicans. But the heavy disparity in advertising isn’t because of… -
Shomari Figures battles to keep seat in district built to elect a RepublicanDOTHAN, Ala. (WTVY) - Democrats need three seats nationwide to flip the U.S. House. On Thursday, they brought national support to Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District, where Rep. Shomari Figures rallied alongside New Jersey Sen. Cory… -
DMFI to spend $7 million to support Reps. Don Davis, Shomari FiguresThe districts are seen as longshots for Democrats; DMFI PAC’s Brian Romick said, ‘Winning battleground districts like theirs is essential to building a broad coalition’ Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images Rep. Don Davis (D-NC)… -
The Tea ft. Rep. Shomari FiguresA tight race in Alabama, not so shocking police violence, and VOTE, BABY, VOTE! The Tea ft. Rep. Shomari Figures Thank you for joining us for another episode of The Tea with April Ryan! Today, April was joined by Rep. Shomari Figures from… -
Shomari Figures airs new ‘6-7’ ad hitting Marques over gas tax in redrawn Alabama districtU.S. Rep. Shomari Figures (D-Mobile) is on the air with a new spot tying GOP challenger State Rep. Rhett Marques (R-Enterprise) to Alabama’s 2019 gas tax increase, the latest sign the incumbent plans to make pump prices the closing… -
How Alabama's Republicans are disenfranchising Black voters – videoA battle for Alabama’s second congressional district is being fought against a backdrop of partisan gerrymandering and America’s ongoing civil rights struggle. Oliver Laughland and Tom Silverstone track down the Maga Republican Rhett… -
3rd annual Harvest Hope Fundraiser held at Montgomery's Lagoon ParkLeaders say this event is about supporting programs that create opportunities and inclusion for individuals with disabilities. 3rd annual Harvest Hope Fundraiser held at Montgomery's Lagoon Park Meet the candidates for Alabama's auditor… -
Figures, Sewell, Booker rally in Montgomery for 2nd Congressional District raceU.S. Rep. Shomari Figures, D-Mobile, (center) and U.S. Sen. Cory Booker, D-N.J,(right) smile as U.S. Rep Terri Sewell, D-Birmingham (left) addresses the crowd during a rally in Montgomery on October 22, 2026. (Andrea Tinker/Alabama… -
Meet the candidates: Alabama’s race for Secretary of StateMONTGOMERY, Ala. (WSFA) - Alabamians will soon elect a new Secretary of State, and two candidates are vying for votes on Nov. 3. Current Secretary of State Wes Allen is term-limited. He ran a campaign for Lieutenant Governor but was beat… -
Three Keys to the Midterms: Affordability, Healthcare, TurnoutRep. Shomari Figures (D-AL) discusses racist redistricting and his re-election battle. Three Keys to the Midterms: Affordability, Healthcare, Turnout April Ryan spoke with Representative Shomari Figures, one of only two Black…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions