Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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WI-03 House election: Derrick Van Orden vote percent
The odds
47.68%median
38%58%
Median 47.68%Middle half 45.24% – 49.79%
How the odds have moved
Median: 46.55% on Oct 19, 47.68% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 42% | 95% | ▲ 1 | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 44% | 86% | ▲ 1 | 81¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | |
| At least 46% | 69% | ▲ 1 | 64¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | |
| At least 48% | 47% | ▲ 1 | 42¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | |
| At least 50% | 23% | 20¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | ||
| At least 52% | 11% | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | ||
| At least 54% | 5% | 2¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | ||
| At least 56% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Derrick Van Orden, WI- House
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Ethics complaint filed against Congressman Derrick Van Orden over AI violationOn Thursday, Oct. 22, an ethics complaint was filed with the Wisconsin Ethics Commission against Congressman Derrick Van Orden in response to posting another AI-generated graphic of Rebecca Cooke without disclosing that it’s AI-generated… -
An ethics complaint has officially been filed with the Wisconsin Ethics Commission against Representative Derrick Van OrdenOct 22, 2026, 4:19 PM CT Todd Coppernoll oversees local news for WRCO and WRCE radio in Richland Center. Having served Richland Center as Mayor for three terms, Todd brings a unique perspective, and a familiar voice to the news. The focus… - Rebecca Cooke and Derrick Van Orden reflect on how they think the forum wentEAU CLAIRE, Wis. (WEAU) - A candidate forum took place between the two candidates for the 3rd Congressional District on Tuesday morning. Both Republican candidate Derrick Van Orden and Democratic candidate Rebecca Cooke expressed…
- Derrick Van Orden, Rebecca Cooke face off in candidate forumEAU CLAIRE, Wis. — Rep. Derrick Van Orden, R-Prairie du Chien, and Democrat Rebecca Cooke met Tuesday in Eau Claire for a candidate forum in Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional District, giving voters a chance to hear from both candidates on…
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Dengue cases in Florida continued to climb after emergency declaredAbout a month after three Florida counties declared states of emergency over what officials described as a “wildly unusual” dengue outbreak, infections of the mosquito-borne disease have continued to climb. Since September, Florida’s total… -
Democrats poised for significant House gains, Cook Political Report estimatesThe nonpartisan Cook Political Report projects Democrats will most likely flip between 12 and 22 seats in November — potentially giving them bigger majorities than the ones they won during blue waves in the 2006 and 2018 midterms. On… -
Ethics complaint filed over Van Orden’s use of AIA complaint has been filed with the Wisconsin Ethics Commission against U.S. Rep. Derrick Van Orden over his use of artificial intelligence to generate images of his Democratic opponent Rebecca Cooke that were posted to his and his… -
Congressman faces ethics complaint over AI generated graphic of opponentU.S. Rep. Derrick Van Orden, R-Prairie du Chien, speaks with reporters during the Wisconsin Republican Party Convention May 17, 2025. (WISC / Channel3000) EAU CLAIRE, Wis. — Congressman Derrick Van Orden faces an ethics complaint over an… - Mamdani’s MIA from GOP attack adsBy MADISON FERNANDEZ with NICK REISMAN and CHRIS SOMMERFELDT 10/15/2026 06:00 AM EDT Presented by Transport Workers Union of America With help from Molly Reinmann HAPPY THURSDAY. Madison Fernandez here with a look at Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s…
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Exclusive: Rep. Ryan Zinke’s SEAL PAC Releases Fierce Ad Comparing Socialist, Communist Dictators to Liberal DemocratsRep. Ryan Zinke (R-MT), who founded SEAL PAC, released a fierce ad that compares communist and socialist dictators to several liberal, Democrat lawmakers. Zinke warned that the United States faces “a war of ideologies” from communism and… -
Van Orden accustomed to long workdays, whether in Congress or on the campaign trailRepublican Congressman Derrick Van Orden talks about life on the campaign trail as election day quickly approaches. With about two weeks left before election day, Van Orden is booked and busy -- but he says that this time of year is no…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions