Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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WA-03 House election: John Braun vote percent
The odds
46.34%median
36%56%
Median 46.34%Middle half 44.75% – 47.75%
How the odds have moved
Median: 45.07% on Oct 19, 46.34% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 40% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 42% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 202 | |
| At least 44% | 87% | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 215 | |
| At least 46% | 56% | 51¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | 50.00 | |
| At least 48% | 21% | ▲ 1 | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | |
| At least 50% | 5% | 2¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 2.7K | |
| At least 52% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| At least 54% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: WA- House, John Braun
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WATCH LIVE: Speaker Johnson holds campaign rally for John Braun in WashingtonHouse Speaker Mike Johnson campaigns alongside congressional nominee John Braun in Chehalis, Washington, as Republicans work to secure a key House seat in the 2026 election cycle. WATCH LIVE: Speaker Johnson holds campaign rally for John… -
With a U.S. House seat at stake, Washington Republican John Braun targets trans girls in sportsJohn Braun is championing Initiative 638 in a race against Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez that could help determine control of the House. Washington Sen. John Braun looks out onto the factory floor at Braun Northwest’s Chehalis… -
In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s businessWASHINGTON, D.C. â John Braun often points to his credentials as the president of his family's manufacturing company in his campaign to unseat U.S. Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez. Javascript is required to use this website. Washington… -
Business run by Republican in key House district hit with new safety fineBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. A Washington state… - In final weeks of 3rd District campaign, Braun champions ban on transgender girls in girls’ sportsElection Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3. Stay informed with OPB on the Oregon governor's race and other regional contests in Oregon and Southwest Washington at our ballot guide. Washington state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, a Republican…
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Washington doctors warn against ballot measure’s invasive sex checks for girls who want to play school sportsMore than 100 pediatricians and nurses have joined the campaign against Initiative 638, which they say would create harmful barriers for young athletes. A general view of an exam room inside a medical clinic in Granite City, Illinois, on… -
In one of the West's few swing races, a Democrat tries to keep a Trump districtLONG BEACH, Wash. — Tourist dollars are drying up in this small town at the edge of the Pacific Ocean. Foot traffic is down. Visitors have less to spend on souvenirs. And beachgoers now bring packed lunches instead of stopping at Captain… -
Republican DA launches investigation to find culprit behind fake trans mailers in TexasA West Texas district attorney is also seeking answers as to who is impersonating the Transgender Education Network of Texas. Community members hold signs as the Cypress Fairbanks ISD School Board weighs a purposed parent policy, which… -
Pete Hegseth wants trans troops gone. U.S. Navy & USMC review boards keep finding reasons to keep themNavy and Marine Corps boards voted for retention in nine of 12 cases, challenging an administration that treats transgender identity as grounds to end a military career. The United States Marine Corps Silent Drill Platoon onstage during… - In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s business - The Seattle TimesIn tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s business The Seattle Times
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Advocate NL 10/23/26Hello and Happy Friday, folks! During a Thursday afternoon press briefing, Mimi Marziani, an attorney representing TENT, announced that the organization had filed a petition to uncover who is behind the impersonation campaign, stating it… -
Speaker Mike Johnson rallies in Chehalis, WA amid tight race for House seatU.S. House Speaker Mike Johnson stopped by Chehalis on Wednesday to rally support for Republican John Braun amid a tightly contested race for Washington's 3rd Congressional District seat. CHEHALIS, Wash. - With 13 days to go until the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions