Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.54%median
14%34%
Median 27.54%Middle half 25.28% – 29.95%
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TX-28 House election: Henry Cuellar vote percent
The odds
55.95%median
46%66%
Median 55.95%Middle half 53.42% – 58.45%
How the odds have moved
Median: 53.57% on Oct 20, 55.95% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | 4.1K | ||
| At least 50% | 94% | ▲ 1 | 91¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | |
| At least 52% | 86% | ▲ 1 | 82¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 205 |
| At least 54% | 71% | ▲ 1 | 66¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 450 |
| At least 56% | 50% | ▲ 1 | 45¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | 600 |
| At least 58% | 30% | 25¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | ||
| At least 60% | 10% | 8¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| At least 62% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | |||
| At least 64% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Henry Cuellar
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Mike Johnson Releases Unending List Of Endorsements In Bid To Retain Leadership RoleHouse Speaker Mike Johnson released a long list of endorsements supporting his bid to remain House Republicans’ leader Monday two weeks before the leadership elections. House Republicans will choose their leaders for the upcoming Congress… -
Democrats Now Spending Over $2 Million In Districts Trump Won By Double-Digit PointsHouse Democrats’ top super PAC poured over $2.2 million into deep red seats Monday that they hope to flip. The House Majority PAC spent $2.2 million on television advertisements against Republican Rep. Brad Finstad in Minnesota’s first… -
Ties to Trump, Biden loom large in key South Texas congressional raceby Will Hammann, The Texas Tribune October 26, 2026 U.S. Rep. Vicente Gonzalez, a five-term Democrat who defeated Republicans in all five general elections, faces his toughest campaign yet after his South Texas district was redrawn to… -
Texas GOP’s Bet on Latinos May Backfire—How Democrats Could Seal the DealOct 23, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Texas Republicans redrew the state's congressional map last year on the assumption that Latino voters who broke for President Donald Trump in 2024 would stay with the party. With less than two weeks until… - Press Release: Rep. Henry Cuellar Announces $1.46 Million in Title I Funding for Duval County SchoolsCuellar announces $1.46 million in federal Title I funding for Duval County schools to support low-income students. Cuellar announces school funding: Rep. Henry Cuellar said $1,464,618 in federal Title I funding is being provided to school…
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Sheriffs Deny Endorsing Greg AbbottOct 22, 2026 at 06:42 AM EDT Oct 22, 2026 at 11:16 AM EDT At least three Democratic sheriffs who Texas Governor Greg Abbott said had endorsed him have denied doing so. Abbott, a Republican locked in a tight race against Democratic… -
Gov. Abbott says 3 Democratic Texas sheriffs endorsed his campaign. They say that’s not true.At least three Democratic sheriffs whom Texas Gov. Greg Abbott touted as supporting his election campaign deny having done so. In a Monday press release, the Republican governor announced a dozen endorsements from Democratic sheriffs in… -
Elections Forecaster Shifts 19 More House Races In Democrats’ FavorA major elections forecaster shifted 19 House races in the Democrats’ favor Friday, including Republican-held seats. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report shifted some races from “Lean Republican” to a “Toss Up” and others from “Solid… -
ANCA Post-Election Townhall to Map Out Armenian American Agenda for the New CongressWASHINGTON, DC – Fresh off the November 3rd midterm elections, the Armenian National Committee of America (ANCA) will host a nationwide online townhall meeting bringing together Armenian Americans to review our impact at the ballot box and… -
Your favorite cause is not the civil rights movement and neither is mineSubscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | YouTube | Overcast | Pocket Casts The civil rights movement was the defining moral drama of 20th-century American domestic politics. So American progressives are both very proud of the civil rights… -
More than 4,300 ballots cast on second day of early voting in Webb CountyA "Vote Here" sign stands outside the Joe A. Guerra Laredo Public Library, located at 1120 E. Calton Road, welcoming voters during the 2025 bond referendum election. Early voting continued Tuesday for the 2026 midterm election in Webb… -
Midterms: In which districts will the Hispanic vote be most decisive?In November, 39 million Latino voters, 5 million more than in the 2022 midterms, are expected to go to the polls, accounting for 16% of the total, up 1 percentage point from two years ago. Published October 21, 2026, 7:17 AM ET…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions