Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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OH-09 House election: Derek Merrin vote percent
The odds
46.79%median
38%58%
Median 46.79%Middle half 44.45% – 49.11%
How the odds have moved
Median: 46.99% on Oct 21, 46.79% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 42% | 93% | ▲ 1 | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | |
| At least 44% | 80% | ▲ 1 | 75¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | |
| At least 46% | 60% | ▲ 1 | 55¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | |
| At least 48% | 36% | ▲ 1 | 31¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | |
| At least 50% | 17% | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 18.00 | |
| At least 52% | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | ||
| At least 54% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 56% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OH- House, Derek Merrin
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How tech became the villain of the US midtermsDatacenters, AI and distaste for the billionaires developing it has soured Americans on big tech The campaign ad begins with a clear, idyllic stream that suddenly turns sludge-brown as two concrete datacenters slam onto its banks. Another… - Musk sets sights on KapturSpending big to unseat longtime Congresswoman FINDLAY â The world's richest man is, once again, trying to defeat U.S Elon Musk tried to help Republican candidate Derek Merrin in 2024, but Kaptur won a narrow victory In the current…
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A ‘coup’ in Congress? Democrats are gaming out a Jan. 3 nightmareHouse Speaker Mike Johnson speaks during a Get Out the Vote rally for Derek Merrin, Republican nominee for Ohio's 9th Congressional District, in Defiance, Ohio on Oct. 8, 2026. Democrats panicked over President Donald Trump’s pre-election… -
House Republicans Subpoena New Jersey Secretary of State for Information on the State Registering Over 6,000 Noncitizens to VoteWASHINGTON, D.C. – Today, House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan (R-OH), House Administration Committee Chairman Bryan Steil (R-WI), House Judiciary Subcommittee on Oversight Chairman Jeff Van Drew (R-NJ), and House Administration… -
Democrats Launch Digital Campaign in Rural Ohio Targeting GOP Candidates Who Pushed A.I. Data CentersThe Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) launched its first digital ad, part of a six-figure campaign nationwide, in rural Ohio Congressional District 9 on Monday. The ad comes as part of a massive campaign to engage voters… -
On campaign trail, Jeffries says Republicans are 'divorced from reality'Jeffries also slapped back at President Donald Trump's abrupt decision to waive sanctions on Russia and said there will be a bipartisan effort in the House to pursue a new sanctions package that the president would not have the ability to… -
‘Divorced from reality’: House leader Jeffries says Dems ‘hold firm’ in midterm race—and says Trump undermines ‘democracy, freedom and dignity’House Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries said Sunday the election climate is holding firm for Democrats as he campaigned for Rep. Marcy Kaptur in a heavily contested Ohio congressional district that is crucial for majority control of the… -
Jeffries likes Democrats’ chances in race for the House as he campaigns in OhioJeffries also slapped back at President Donald Trump’s abrupt decision to waive sanctions on Russia and said there will be a bipartisan effort in the House to pursue a new sanctions package that the president would not have the ability to… -
Election 2026 updates: Obama coming to Cleveland, videos from recent campaign stopsThe Buckeye State appears to again be a major political battleground. See what’s happening around the state without watching an endless stream of attack ads. Former President Barack Obama will campaign alongside Ohio Democrats this week… -
Kaptur, Merrin battle again in U.S. 9th District raceA focused rematch might be one way to describe the race this fall for the 9th U.S. District seat that is about to represent all area counties in the U.S. House of Representatives. "About" is the operative word because starting in January… -
Leadership barnstorming continues ahead of midterm electionsSpeaker Mike Johnson is trying to rally the Republican faithful — and keep them from staying home in the midterms — arguing that polling is bad and the party of President Donald Trump can still defy political gravity. “Even even some of… -
Fight for US Congress stirs global stakes over Trump’s stance on Russia and UkraineTOLEDO, Ohio: House Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries said Sunday the election climate is holding firm for Democrats as he campaigned for Rep. Marcy Kaptur in a heavily contested Ohio congressional district that is crucial for majority…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions