Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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NY-19 House election: Josh Riley vote percent
The odds
57.49%median
46%64%
Median 57.49%Middle half 54.69% – 60.31%
How the odds have moved
Median: 57.07% on Oct 19, 57.49% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 50% | 96% | ▲ 1 | 93¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | |
| At least 52% | 92% | ▲ 1 | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | |
| At least 54% | 81% | ▲ 1 | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | |
| At least 56% | 65% | ▲ 1 | 60¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | |
| At least 58% | 45% | ▲ 1 | 41¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | 5.00 |
| At least 60% | 27% | ▲ 1 | 23¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 5.00 |
| At least 62% | 14% | 10¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 66.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Josh Riley
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NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Five facts worth knowing about Josh RileyJosh Riley, of Ithaca, is the incumbent Congressional Representative for the southern half of Cortland County. He deserves reelection in November. These facts explain why: We are living in an era of record-high American deficits and… -
Politicians are fighting to win voters trust amid rising utility costsJeff Goldberg has owned and operated Fish307 for more than 30 years. Gov. Kathy Hochul frequently brings up President Donald J. Trump's role in rising energy prices, although surging utility costs in New York predate the president's second… - Peter Oberacker to Newsmax: Riley 'Puts on a Flannel and Thinks He's a Farmer'By Solange Reyner | Saturday, 24 October 2026 04:27 PM EDT Republican congressional candidate Peter Oberacker said Saturday that, if elected, he would push for a tax holiday on utility bills. He also accused Democratic Rep. Josh Riley of…
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Election 2026: Early voting begins. Here are all the races in Ulster County and Northern DutchessKINGSTON, N.Y. — Early voting in New York begins Saturday, Oct. 24, and runs through Nov. 1. Here are all the races on ballots in Ulster County and Northern Dutchess: Comptroller: Thomas P. DiNapoli: D, WF; Joseph Hernandez: R, C. Attorney… -
Editorial: It’s time to flip CongressPresident Donald J. Trump has been imploring Republican voters to “pretend I’m on the ballot” in the midterm elections. There’s no need, really, to pretend. This election, particularly for seats in the U.S. Senate and the House of… - Rep. Josh Riley faces Peter Oberacker in NY-19 clashThe race for New York’s 19th Congressional District will pit Democratic incumbent Rep. Josh Riley against Republican challenger Peter Oberacker. Riley ran for the district back in 2022 and lost to Marc Molinaro before unseating him in a…
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Lack of enthusiasm for NY-19 shows signs of a retreating GOPThe candidates for U.S. House District 19 include incumbent Democratic Rep. Josh Riley, left, and Republican state Sen. Peter Oberacker, right. Incumbent Rep. Josh Riley faces state Sen. Peter Oberacker for New York's 19th Congressional… -
Brews to Barns Is in the HouseThe Brewers Association applauds today’s introduction of the Brews to Barns Act in the U.S. House of Representatives by Reps. Mike Kelly (R-PA), Brad Schneider (D-IL), Jeff Hurd (R-CO), John Larson (D-CT), Josh Riley (D-NY), Marilyn… -
Election 2026: The Races We’re Watching in NY & Northeast PAWJFF 90.5 FM | WIOX 91.3 FM Local and state races across New York and Pennsylvania are heating up as Election Day quickly approaches. Here are the races on our radar leading up to November 3. Stay up to date on Radio Catskill’s election… -
Binghamton veterans protest Iran war, Schumer responseBINGHAMTON, N.Y. (WBNG) - Members of the area chapter of Veterans for Peace gathered outside the federal building on Henry Street in Binghamton Tuesday to protest the Iran war and Sen. Chuck Schumer’s response. Jack Gilroy, the group’s… -
Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seatFox News Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seat Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss his heated debate against Democratic challenger Cait Conley in New York’s 17th Congressional District, the Paris…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions