Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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NY-17 House election: Mike Lawler vote percent
The odds
48.41%median
38%56%
Median 48.41%Middle half 45.86% – 50.91%
How the odds have moved
Median: 48.59% on Oct 20, 48.41% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 42% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 44% | 89% | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 1.2K | |
| At least 46% | 74% | 69¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 8.00 | |
| At least 48% | 55% | 50¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | 203 | |
| At least 50% | 33% | ▲ 1 | 28¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 255 |
| At least 52% | 16% | ▲ 1 | 12¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 1.0K |
| At least 54% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Mike Lawler
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Cait Conley calls Mike Lawler a ‘Trump puppet’ while dancing to Hakeem Jeffries’ tuneThere’s a contradiction at the heart of Democrat Cait Conley’s campaign to unseat incumbent Republican Mike Lawler in New York’s 17th congressional district. On the one hand, Conley is making the case that Lawler, or, as she calls him… -
Rep. Mike Lawler reacts to federal probe into Rep. Ilhan OmarRep. Mike Lawler, Republican from New York, reacts to reports of a federal probe into Rep. Ilhan Omar's financial disclosures and alleged name scrutiny. Lawler also shares his outlook on the upcoming midterm elections. Rep. Mike Lawler… -
Republican incumbent Mike Lawler and Democrat Cait Conley vie for NY-17 seat in northern suburbsUpdated on: October 23, 2026 / 5:51 PM EDT / CBS New York Republican incumbent Mike Lawler and challenger Cait Conley are campaigning for the hotly contested seat in New York's 17th Congressional District. The district includes all of… -
Centrist champion for small business Mike Lawler is a far better vote than carpetbagging challenger Cait ConleyNo matter which party winds up controlling the House, New York and the Hudson Valley’s 17th Congressional District will be far better off re-electing Rep. Mike Lawler over carpetbagging challenger Cait Conley. He’s a hard-nosed centrist… -
Elon Musk opens wallet to aid NY Rep. Mike Lawler’s tough re-election bidThe world’s richest man is launching his support behind Republican New York Rep. Mike Lawler. Elon Musk’s self-financed America Super PAC dumped $600,000 to back Lawler in recent days as the two-term Hudson Valley congressman faces a tough… -
We endorse Mike Lawler for Congress. Here’s Why.By rctadmin on October 24, 2026Comments Off on We endorse Mike Lawler for Congress. Here’s Why. We first met Mike Lawler when he interviewed with us for his State Assembly race in 2020. He is rooted in Rockland, and although we were… - HAPPENING NOW IN MONSEY: Crowds Gather For Major Get-Out-The-Vote Rally Featuring Bruce Blakeman, Mike Lawler, Lipa Schmeltzer And Shmueli UngerCrowds are beginning to gather at 33 Downtown Drive in Monsey for today’s major Get Out the Vote Rally featuring Congressman Mike Lawler, Nassau County Executive and Republican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman, along with popular…
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WMCHealth Joins U.S. Representatives Mike Lawler and Josh Gottheimer to Announce New Federal Legislation to Advance Organ DonationWestchester Medical Center Health Network (WMCHealth) hosted U.S. Representatives Mike Lawler (R-N.Y.) and Josh Gottheimer (D-N.J.) for a bipartisan announcement to introduce new federal legislation aimed at helping expand organ donation… -
NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Blakeman slams ‘Mamdani’s puppet’ Hochul over NY immigration policy, crimeBruce Blakeman slammed Gov. Kathy Hochul as lefty Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s “puppet” during a GOP campaign rally at an upstate shopping center Sunday, calling out the governor over the state’s soft-on-immigration sanctuary policy. The… -
TEAMSTERS GENERAL PRESIDENT SEAN M. O'BRIEN AND REP. MIKE LAWLER TO HOLD PRESS CONFERENCERep. Lawler co-sponsored the pro-labor Faster Labor Contracts Act, signed the discharge petition that forced it onto the House floor, and voted for it when it passed the U.S. House on June 9. Rep. Lawler also co-sponsored the Warehouse… -
‘Just get in and stir sh-t up’ — Lawler as chaos agent04/13/2026 05:31 PM EDT The text message that was apparently sent by Republican Rep. Mike Lawler to Democrats included this image. | Obtained by POLITICO DAYS THE BUDGET IS LATE: 13 OPERATIVES GONNA OPERATE: Republican Rep. Mike Lawler…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions