Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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NY-17 House election: Cait Conley vote percent
The odds
50.05%median
42%60%
Median 50.05%Middle half 47.52% – 52.69%
How the odds have moved
Median: 49.95% on Oct 20, 50.05% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | 20.00 | ||
| At least 46% | 88% | 83¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 10.00 | |
| At least 48% | 71% | 67¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 828 | |
| At least 50% | 51% | 46¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 1.1K | |
| At least 52% | 31% | 26¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 217 | |
| At least 54% | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 21.00 | |
| At least 56% | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | ||
| At least 58% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 200 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Cait Conley
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Cait Conley calls Mike Lawler a ‘Trump puppet’ while dancing to Hakeem Jeffries’ tuneThere’s a contradiction at the heart of Democrat Cait Conley’s campaign to unseat incumbent Republican Mike Lawler in New York’s 17th congressional district. On the one hand, Conley is making the case that Lawler, or, as she calls him… -
Republican incumbent Mike Lawler and Democrat Cait Conley vie for NY-17 seat in northern suburbsUpdated on: October 23, 2026 / 5:51 PM EDT / CBS New York Republican incumbent Mike Lawler and challenger Cait Conley are campaigning for the hotly contested seat in New York's 17th Congressional District. The district includes all of… -
Centrist champion for small business Mike Lawler is a far better vote than carpetbagging challenger Cait ConleyNo matter which party winds up controlling the House, New York and the Hudson Valley’s 17th Congressional District will be far better off re-electing Rep. Mike Lawler over carpetbagging challenger Cait Conley. He’s a hard-nosed centrist… -
Cait Conley Joined by NYS AFL-CIO and Leading Labor Unions for Rally and Canvass LaunchRiver Journal Online “Growing up in the Hudson Valley, the daughter of a postal worker and a construction worker, I learned the values of hard work and service to community at a young age — values I’ve carried with me throughout my… -
Cait Conley on Policy, Politics and Personal DecisionsCait Conley discusses foreign policy, affordability, surveillance, congressional reform and her career transition in a 30-minute interview. News Based on facts, either observed and verified directly by the reporter, or reported and… -
NEW AD: Radical Democrat Cait Conley Exposed as Kathy Hochul PuppetNational Republican Congressional Committee Text VICTORY to 21818 to help DEFEND our conservative majority! NEW AD: Radical Democrat Cait Conley Exposed as Kathy Hochul Puppet WASHINGTON, D.C. – The National Republican Congressional… -
NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
For New York Congressional District 17, Cait Conley vs Mike LawlerCait Conley (Democrat/Working Families Party) of New Castle seeks to unseat incumbent Mike Lawler as U.S. Representative for New York Congressional District 17. Mike Lawler (Republican/Conservative) of Pearl River is seeking his third… -
Blakeman slams ‘Mamdani’s puppet’ Hochul over NY immigration policy, crimeBruce Blakeman slammed Gov. Kathy Hochul as lefty Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s “puppet” during a GOP campaign rally at an upstate shopping center Sunday, calling out the governor over the state’s soft-on-immigration sanctuary policy. The… -
‘Just get in and stir sh-t up’ — Lawler as chaos agent04/13/2026 05:31 PM EDT The text message that was apparently sent by Republican Rep. Mike Lawler to Democrats included this image. | Obtained by POLITICO DAYS THE BUDGET IS LATE: 13 OPERATIVES GONNA OPERATE: Republican Rep. Mike Lawler… - Major transit union launches ad blitz ripping Hochul as so ‘toxic’ that Dem pols are running from herA major labor union has launched an ad blitz ripping Dem Gov. Kathy Hochul as so “radioactive” and “toxic” that midterm candidates from her own party want nothing to do with her. The Transport Workers Union of America, whose local members…
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Hey Cait Conley Do You Know How Much We Pay in Property Taxes in Westchester? We Need SALTLAWLER’S CLOSING AD: CAIT CONLEY DOESN’T PAY PROPERTY TAXES IN NY-17, BUT WANTS TO RAISE TAXES ON THOSE WHO DO BY $4,000 Conley owns no property in NY-17 and pays no property taxes here, but does have a 2026 real estate tax record in her…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions