Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.64%median
14%34%
Median 28.64%Middle half 26.29% – 31.03%
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NV-03 House election: Marty O'Donnell vote percent
The odds
42.27%median
36%56%
Median 42.27%Middle half 39.87% – 44.73%
How the odds have moved
Median: 42.52% on Oct 24, 42.27% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 89% | ▼ 1 | 84¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | |
| At least 40% | 74% | ▼ 2 | 69¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | |
| At least 42% | 53% | ▼ 3 | 48¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | |
| At least 44% | 31% | ▼ 2 | 26¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | |
| At least 46% | 14% | ▼ 2 | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 200 |
| At least 48% | 5% | ▼ 1 | 9¢ | $11.11 | ||
| At least 50% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 52% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 54% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NV- House, Marty O'Donnell
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Marty O'Donnell unfazed after Trump PAC pulls $2 million in ad spendingIndy Elections takes you behind the headlines of Nevada politics, delivering scoops and smart analysis on the races that could reshape our lives. You can change your newsletter settings here. In today's edition: A sneak peek at what… -
NV-03 GOP candidate Marty O'Donnell speaks on online forum controversyLAS VEGAS (KSNV) — Control of Congress is expected to come down to the wire in both chambers, and while Nevada has no Senate races in 2026, several swing House districts are up for grabs — including Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District… - Nevada GOP Candidate Marty O'Donnell's Online Forum Hit With Nazi Talk FindingsThe campaign said nearly 200 users have been banned because of hateful rhetoric, including many flagged by the AP, the station's report notes. In a statement, the campaign said O'Donnell will not tolerate the rise of antisemitism in the…
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AP: GOP candidate Marty O'Donnell in-charge of forum with since banned pro-Nazi usersO’Donnell, who is challenging incumbent Democratic Rep. Susie Lee, is accused of moderating an online forum called “The Marty Army” that has banned more than 200 users for hateful rhetoric. An Associated Press review found that multiple… -
'Halo guy' Marty O'Donnell wants to flip a Vegas House seat. Can he convince voters IRL?Marty O'Donnell (R) almost didn't run for Congress again. "I couldn't even believe I was being put on that spot again," he recalls from his home in Lone Mountain. One of the D.C. operatives later flew to Nevada and had lunch with him. He… -
Whitmer, Warren rally Nevada democratsLAS VEGAS (KTNV) — Massachusetts U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer on Tuesday rallied Nevada democrats to support Question 6, the abortion-rights constitutional amendment. They also urged votes for incumbent… -
Billionaires pick sides in the 2nd Congressional District raceIn today's edition: We spotted some interesting tidbits in the latest campaign finance reports. Plus: An exclusive on Democrats upping their spending with a Spanish-language ad on data centers, a new poll shows Nevada's gubernatorial… -
Scalise Doubles Down As GOP Pulls Back MoneyHouse Republicans are fighting nasty political weather, but Steve Scalise is acting like the House is still there for the taking. The House majority leader has refused to entertain talk of a GOP wipeout, even as allied groups have started… -
Elections 2026 O'Donnell DiscordTimes Argus FILE - Marty O'Donnell, candidate for the U.S. House in Nevada, speaks at the Republican convention, Sept. 10, 2026, in Dallas. Online forum controlled by Nevada GOP House candidate contains slurs and Nazi talk, AP review finds -
Online forum controlled by Nevada GOP House candidate contains slurs and Nazi talk, AP review findsFILE - Marty O'Donnell, candidate for the U.S. House in Nevada, speaks at the Republican convention, Sept. 10, 2026, in Dallas. House district 3 candidate Martin O'Donnell arrives before President Donald Trump at a campaign rally at the… -
Donald Trump shouts for his doctor several times onstage at rally amid health concernsPresident Donald Trump called for his doctor during his speech at a rally in Arizona on Wednesday. During his time at the microphone, Trump said, "Where's my doctor?" and examined the crowd before asking again and looking behind him, as…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions