Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.64%median
14%34%
Median 28.64%Middle half 26.29% – 31.03%
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NV-01 House election: Carrie Buck vote percent
The odds
41.2%median
34%54%
Median 41.2%Middle half 38.47% – 43.89%
How the odds have moved
Median: 41.25% on Oct 25, 41.2% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 36% | 91% | ▼ 1 | 86¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | |
| At least 38% | 79% | ▼ 2 | 74¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | |
| At least 40% | 62% | ▼ 3 | 57¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | |
| At least 42% | 42% | ▼ 3 | 37¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | |
| At least 44% | 24% | ▼ 3 | 19¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | |
| At least 46% | 12% | ▼ 2 | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 167 |
| At least 48% | 5% | ▼ 1 | 9¢ | $11.11 | 2.9K | |
| At least 50% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 2.3K | ||
| At least 52% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 1.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NV- House, Carrie Buck
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Got a Minute? Carrie Buck discusses gas prices, water crisis and immigration ahead of general electionLAS VEGAS (FOX5) — Congressional candidate Carrie Buck discussed gas prices, the war in Iran, the economy, tourism, immigration, water rights and land use ahead of the general election. Buck said rising fuel costs are affecting families… -
Henderson police investigate deadly shooting near Lake Mead ParkwayFOX5 Vegas Henderson police investigate deadly shooting near Lake Mead Parkway FULL: General Election interview with Steven Horsford | NV US House District 4 FULL: General Election interview with Cody Whipple | NV US House District 4 FULL… -
Marty O'Donnell unfazed after Trump PAC pulls $2 million in ad spendingIndy Elections takes you behind the headlines of Nevada politics, delivering scoops and smart analysis on the races that could reshape our lives. You can change your newsletter settings here. In today's edition: A sneak peek at what… -
Got a Minute? Nevada incumbent for lieutenant governor Stavros Anthony shares his local experienceFOX5 Vegas Got a Minute? Nevada incumbent for lieutenant governor Stavros Anthony shares his local experience FULL: General Election interview with Susie Lee | NV US House District 3 FULL: General Election interview with Marty O’Donnell |… - Pres Trump to headline FL midterm campaign rally on FridayFOX5 Vegas Pres Trump to headline FL midterm campaign rally on Friday FULL: General Election interview with Hollie Chadwick | Henderson Mayor FULL: General Election interview with Michelle Romero | Henderson Mayor Wrong turn leads stranger…
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FULL: General Election interview with Marty O’Donnell | NV US House District 3FOX5 Vegas FULL: General Election interview with Marty O’Donnell | NV US House District 3 FULL: General Election interview with Susie Lee | NV US House District 3 Got a Minute? US NV-District 1 GOP candidate Carrie Buck speaks about… -
Kamala Harris rallies Culinary Union members in final push before Election DayBy Ava Chatlosh (contact) Wednesday, Oct. 21, 2026 | 3:52 p.m. Former Vice President Kamala Harris rallied hundreds of Culinary Workers Union Local 226 members in Las Vegas today, urging them to keep pushing for Democratic candidates with… -
Our top takeaways from Nevada’s new campaign finance reportsBy Eric Neugeboren, Tabitha Mueller, Mini Racker, and Isabella AldreteThe Nevada Independent Millions of dollars poured into Nevada’s congressional and statewide races from July through September, according to campaign finance reports… -
SPEAKER IN THE OCTAGON: Mike Johnson Packs Meta Apex for Buck, O’Donnell RallyBy TheNevadaGlobeStaff, October 21, 2026 8:23 am LAS VEGAS, Nev. — House Speaker Mike Johnson stepped inside one of the most recognizable fighting venues in Las Vegas Tuesday night, rallying hundreds of Nevada Republicans behind… -
Whitmer, Warren rally Nevada democratsLAS VEGAS (KTNV) — Massachusetts U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer on Tuesday rallied Nevada democrats to support Question 6, the abortion-rights constitutional amendment. They also urged votes for incumbent… -
TAX ATTACK: NRCC Drops New Dina Titus Ad as Nevada Early Voting Gets UnderwayBy TheNevadaGlobeStaff, October 20, 2026 6:00 am LAS VEGAS, Nev. — The National Republican Congressional Committee is hitting Rep. Dina Titus with a new paid digital advertising campaign centered on taxes and gasoline prices as Nevada… - Mike Johnson Lands in Las Vegas to Boost GOP's Dina Titus, Susie Lee ChallengersHouse Speaker Mike Johnson is set to campaign in Las Vegas on Tuesday alongside Republican congressional candidates Marty O’Donnell and Carrie Buck, less than a month before Election Day. The Get Out the Vote Rally is scheduled to run from…
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All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
16.19%median
8%28%
Median 16.19%Middle half 14.27% – 18.07%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.47%median
36%56%
Median 44.47%Middle half 41.43% – 47.03%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.7%median
0%16%
Median 10.7%Middle half 8.36% – 13.55%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.84% – 17.6%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46%median
30%65%
Median 46%Middle half 43% – 48.88%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions