Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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NM-02 House election: Gabe Vasquez vote percent
The odds
55.33%median
46%66%
Median 55.33%Middle half 52.56% – 58.23%
How the odds have moved
Median: 55.56% on Oct 20, 55.33% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 50% | 90% | ▲ 1 | 87¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 2.6K |
| At least 52% | 81% | ▲ 1 | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | |
| At least 54% | 61% | ▲ 1 | 59¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | 29.00 |
| At least 56% | 45% | ▲ 1 | 40¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | |
| At least 58% | 27% | ▲ 1 | 22¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | |
| At least 60% | 14% | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | ||
| At least 62% | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | ||
| At least 64% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NM- House, Gabe Vasquez
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Special Interview: Democratic Rep. Gabe Vasquez on re-election bid, border security, inflation and moreALBUQUERQUE, N.M.- Representative Gabe Vasqeuz, D-N.M., joined KOB as he campaigns to hold on to his seat in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district. Vasquez touched on his highly competitive race and ... ALBUQUERQUE, N.M.- Representative… -
2nd Congressional District draws millions from big PACs as ad wars heat upMillions in out-of-state political action committee dollars have flowed into New Mexico's fiercely competitive 2nd Congressional District race in recent weeks, fueling a wave of attack ads flooding the airwaves as the Nov. 3 election… -
Your Local Election HQ: Greg Cunningham for New Mexico 2nd Congressional DistrictEL PASO, Texas (KTSM) -- KTSM 9 News is your local election headquarters. Early voting is in full swing and Election Day for the November midterms is less than two weeks away. KTSM 9 News anchor Andy Morgan is asking questions to both… -
Special Interview: Republican Greg Cunningham on his bid for CD2, Iran War, Inflation and moreKOB 4 ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. – Greg Cunningham, the Republican candidate seeking to unseat Rep. Gabe Vasquez, D-N.M., joined KOB to discuss his campaign to represent New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district. Cunningham weighed on the Iran War… -
Trump wants New Mexico to change its name. Here's why he can't rename itPresident Donald Trump is once again proposing New Mexico change its name to "New America." "New Mexico should immediately change its name to New America," the president wrote in a Truth Social post on Monday, Oct. 19. “We are not Mexico… -
The Roundhouse Report: Doña Ana voting and ‘New America’Sheriff candidates Vanessa Ordoñez, left, and Todd Garrison on Sept. 8 at Temple Beth El in Las Cruces before a candidate forum. The Doña Ana County Clerk’s Office sent out an email Monday correcting what it said was inaccurate information… -
Midterms: In which districts will the Hispanic vote be most decisive?In November, 39 million Latino voters, 5 million more than in the 2022 midterms, are expected to go to the polls, accounting for 16% of the total, up 1 percentage point from two years ago. Published October 21, 2026, 7:17 AM ET… -
Trump and District 2This ain’t business as usual: each day Donald Trump does things which, if done by any earlier president, would be the chief event we recalled from his Presidency. That’s only part of why I’ll vote for Gabe Vasquez against Trumpist Greg… -
Why this voter is choosing Gabe Vasquez over TrumpThis ain't business as usual: each day Donald Trump does things which, if done by any earlier president, would be the chief event we recalled from his Presidency. That's only part of why I'll vote for Gabe Vasquez against Trumpist Greg… -
Trump says New Mexico should ‘immediately’ change name to New AmericaPresident Donald Trump on Monday said that New Mexico “should immediately change its name to New America,” repeating his controversial and far-fetched idea. “We are not Mexico, we are the United States of America! The name would add great… -
Trump renews call for New Mexico name changePresident Donald Trump on Monday took to social media to renew his call for New Mexico to be renamed New America. The post followed Trump’s initial call for the name change in early September, which prompted numerous denunciations by state… - Vasquez, lawmakers question proposed 64% cut to Forest Service trail fundingRep. Gabe Vasquez joins lawmakers questioning a proposed $14 million cut to Forest Service trail maintenance funding and seeking answers by Oct. 30. Thirteen members of Congress are demanding answers about staffing shortages, trail…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions