Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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NJ-05 House election: Sean Kirrane vote percent
The odds
39.5%median
30%50%
Median 39.5%Middle half 36.75% – 42.29%
How the odds have moved
Median: 38.67% on Oct 19, 39.5% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 32% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 34% | 92% | 87¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 36% | 81% | 76¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | ||
| At least 38% | 65% | 60¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | ||
| At least 40% | 45% | 40¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | ||
| At least 42% | 27% | ▲ 1 | 23¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 5.00 |
| At least 44% | 13% | 9¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 205 | |
| At least 46% | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | ||
| At least 48% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NJ- House, Sean Kirrane
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Insider NJ’s Morning Intelligence Briefing: 10/12/2026QUOTE OF THE DAY: "I would still consider Van Drew’s district to be an uphill climb for Democrats. If the blue tsunami continues to rise and continues to get taller, then it could sweep up a district like this. There’s a lot of seawall… -
Gottheimer has raised whopping $23 million for other Democrats this cycleHuman Fundraising Machine had a $1.15 million Q3 fundraising haul, now has $14.5 million cash-on-hand By David Wildstein, October 12 2026 6:47 am Rep. Josh Gottheimer (D-Wyckoff) raised $1.15 million in the third quarter and has a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions