Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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MT-01 House election: Aaron Flint vote percent
The odds
48.72%median
42%62%
Median 48.72%Middle half 46.65% – 50.82%
How the odds have moved
Median: 48.99% on Oct 19, 48.72% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 95% | ▲ 1 | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 200 |
| At least 46% | 83% | ▲ 1 | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 200 |
| At least 48% | 60% | ▲ 1 | 55¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | |
| At least 50% | 33% | ▲ 1 | 29¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 1.3K |
| At least 52% | 14% | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | ||
| At least 54% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 1.2K | ||
| At least 56% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 58% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 60% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MT- House, Aaron Flint
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Letter to the editor: Aaron Flint support tougher DUI lawsThe Independent Record Javascript is required to use this website. How many more families must bury someone before we demand stronger consequences for repeat impaired driving? This November, western Montana voters face a clear choice on… -
Democrat Sam Forstag outraises Republican Aaron Flint in western US House districtAs the 2026 election cycle nears its close, campaign spending continues to heat up in Montana’s competitive races. Campaign finance filings through Oct. 14 show Democrat Sam Forstag with a lead in both total fundraising and cash on hand… -
Montana GOP Congressional Candidate Aaron Flint: ‘the Anti-American Left’ Wants an ‘AOC-Endorsed Socialist Elected in the Heartland of America’Montana Republican congressional candidate Aaron Flint told Breitbart News Washington Bureau chief Matthew Boyle that “the anti-American left” are “flooding” his state with cash “because they want to get an AOC-endorsed socialist elected… -
House Speaker Mike Johnson stumps in Bozeman for Aaron FlintThis luncheon comes less than a week after President Trump rallied in Kalispell for Republican candidate Aaron Flint. When Speaker Johnson was asked if his visit so soon after the president sends a message of fear, Johnson says just the… -
RAW: MT: HOUSE SPEAKER JOHNSON IN MT/RURAL HEALTHCARELocal 3 News House Speaker Mike Johnson brings national spotlight to Montana GOP races Live cockroaches, spoiled food and glove-changing lead this week's violations Woman killed after being struck by vehicle in Chattanooga; police… -
House Speaker Mike Johnson campaigns for Aaron Flint in BozemanThe third most powerful person in the U.S. government made a campaign stop in Bozeman today. Speaker of the House Mike Johnson is the focus of a lunch rally at the Gallatin County Fairgrounds. Test results have confirmed his diagnosis as a… -
Buttigieg endorses independent candidate Seth Bodnar over Democratic nominee in Montana Senate raceOctober 23, 2026 / 12:23 PM EDT / CBS News Former U.S. Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg has endorsed the independent candidate in the Montana Senate race, Seth Bodnar, over the Democratic nominee, Bodnar's campaign announced Friday… -
Vice President JD Vance to stump for Republicans in Belgrade next weekUnited States Vice President J.D. Vance will visit Belgrade next week to campaign on behalf of Republican candidates for federal office in Montana. Carly Graf has worked for the Montana State News Bureau since 2023. In recent years, the… -
Trump Political Org Pours Millions Into Florida District Race After House GOP PAC Slashed FundingPresident Donald Trump’s political operation planned to spend money in a competitive House race Thursday after Republicans slashed funding in the district. The super PAC planned to spend $1 million in Washington’s third district, $85,000… -
Death of a cypherpunkThe must-read briefing on the people, power moves, policy battles and market shifts defining what’s next in global technology. By SAM SUTTON, CALDER MCHUGH, BRENDAN BORDELON and CHRISTINE MUI 10/21/2026 06:55 AM EDT With help from Victoria… -
Vice President JD Vance to hold campaign rally in BelgradeHELENA — Vice President JD Vance will be holding a campaign rally in Montana next week – the latest event from national Republican leaders seeking to boost GOP candidates in the state ahead of Election Day. Vance is scheduled to appear… -
Debate heats up Flint-Forstag raceU.S. Congressional candidate Sam Forstag stands in the alleyway next to his Missoula office on Regent street in Missoula, Mont, on Oct. 16. Montana U.S. House candidates Aaron Flint and Sam Forstag debated in Helena on Oct. 13, clashing…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions