Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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MI-08 House election: Thomas Smith vote percent
The odds
39.29%median
32%54%
Median 39.29%Middle half 36.72% – 41.84%
How the odds have moved
Median: 39.29% on Oct 24, 39.29% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 34% | 94% | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 36% | 82% | 77¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | ||
| At least 38% | 64% | 59¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | ||
| At least 40% | 43% | 38¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | ||
| At least 42% | 24% | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | ||
| At least 44% | 11% | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | ||
| At least 46% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | |||
| At least 48% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 50% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 52% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MI- House, Thomas Smith
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3 Candidates Run for Judge of Texas Court of Criminal AppealsLaw.com 3 Candidates Run for Judge of Texas Court of Criminal Appeals Anyiam faces Libertarian Mark Ash and Republican Thomas Smith, an assistant attorney general backed by Attorney General Ken Paxton in the Nov. 3 general election… -
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Write-in candidates could bring juice, but results won’t appear until after electionNotable write-in candidates will be on ballots this year, but voters won’t see those results until after Election Day. “Those are not counted until the audit occurs within 10 days of the election. So that’s just by state code that those… -
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions