Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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FL-23 House election: Deborah Adeimy vote percent
The odds
34.88%median
26%46%
Median 34.88%Middle half 32.37% – 37.44%
How the odds have moved
Median: 34.62% on Oct 19, 34.88% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 28% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 30% | 92% | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 32% | 79% | 74¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | ||
| At least 34% | 60% | 55¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | 410 | |
| At least 36% | 38% | 34¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | 5.00 | |
| At least 38% | 20% | 16¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 5.00 | |
| At least 40% | 8% | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 5.00 | |
| At least 42% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 5.00 | ||
| At least 44% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FL- House, Deborah Adeimy
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FL House & GOP Pulling FundingFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul A look at Florida's congressional races and top GOP groups pulling funding from first-term incumbents. - President Trump, wife vote early in West Palm BeachHe then went to a campaign rally in Georgia. President Donald Trump and his wife, Melania, cast their ballots for the November general election in West Palm Beach on Saturday afternoon. The couple voted at the Palm Beach County Supervisor…
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What's on my ballot? Palm Beach County and Treasure Coast Voter Guide 2026WPTV Voters across South Florida and the Treasure Coast will cast ballots in statewide, congressional and local races during Florida's Nov 3 general election.The exact ballot varies depending on where a voter lives, but most WPTV viewers… -
National Federation of Independent Business Endorses Republican Challengers For CongressThe National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) Florida has endorsed Sen. Ashley Moody (R-Fla.) in her reelection bid against Democratic challenger Angie Nixon. The group has also endorsed 24 Republican congressional challengers… -
“Sodagate” Shows Republican Desperation and Rat F***King at its worst.Polls and early turnout have made Republicans so desperate they are rolling out vicious and absurd dirty tricks to tar Democrats. We saw that yesterday on the Senate level with the bogus story that James Talarico had checked into an Ohio…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions