Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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CA-49 House election: Mike Levin vote percent
The odds
60.68%median
52%70%
Median 60.68%Middle half 57.79% – 63.56%
How the odds have moved
Median: 60.29% on Oct 19, 60.68% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 95% | ▲ 1 | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 56% | 88% | 83¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | ||
| At least 58% | 74% | 69¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | ||
| At least 60% | 56% | 52¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | ||
| At least 62% | 38% | 33¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | ||
| At least 64% | 22% | 17¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | ||
| At least 66% | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | ||
| At least 68% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Mike Levin
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Opinion: Voters must rein in San Diego County board’s hard-left turnTwo races for supervisor will play a key role in deciding San Diego County’s finances and politics over the next four years. For these officially nonpartisan seats, turning a 3-2 Democratic majority into a 4-1 supermajority would further… -
Political World Piles on Vanity Fair’s Bombshell Jared Kushner Report: ‘Bananas’Political and media pundits piled on the stunning book excerpt published in Vanity Fair this week, claiming President Donald Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner’s phone was compromised by Russia, a move that allegedly revealed secret bank… -
Hegseth Could Face Impeachment if Democrats Win in NovemberQ&A: Hegseth Could Face Impeachment if Democrats Win in November Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is likely to be in the hot seat after the midterm elections in November, if Democrats gain control of the House and possibly even the Senate… - Grateful to Those Who Stood Between Our Homes and Norte FireBy Sunday, we had returned home. Not every family was so fortunate. Seven homes were damaged or destroyed, and two firefighters were injured on the line. To everyone who lost a home or now faces a long road of repairs, our community is…
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The Norte fire in South Orange County was a reminder of nature's furyWe’d been forewarned that Santa Ana winds would be coming our way during the latter half of last week and it was all true. They made their appearance. Fiercely so. Firefighters found themselves not only dealing with the wind-whipped blaze… - Trump's Russia Sanctions Waiver Draws Bipartisan BacklashPresident Trump waived a recently enacted bipartisan Russia sanctions law, drawing criticism from members of both parties. The New York Times reported that Trump set aside the bipartisan sanctions law amid his pursuit of deals with Moscow…
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Senator Adam Schiff Visited Point Loma High to Discuss Immigration Enforcement and ICEBy: Dani Miskell / 10News / Oct. 15, 2026 U.S. Sen. Adam Schiff visited Point Loma High School on Thursday, October 15, to discuss how immigration enforcement has impacted San Diego schools. The visit marked the first time in 13 years that… -
In California’s 49th Congressional District, it’s a contest between Armen Kurdian and Rep. Mike LevinThe race for California’s 49th Congressional District is a battle between Republican Armen Kurdian and Democratic incumbent Rep. Mike Levin. The Southern California News Group asked the candidates vying to represent you several questions… -
Vote for von Wilpert, Levin to end MAGA control of HouseThe San Diego Union-Tribune Editorial Board has long believed in the value of divided government. When one party controls Congress and the White House, sweeping legislation is more likely to be passed without adequate scrutiny. This is… - Bessent Says “The Noose Is Tightening Around Iran’s Economy” After Operation Economic Outcast Targeted an Iraqi Bank“The noose is tightening around Iran’s economy, and not even Iran’s so-called allies can save it,” Bessent wrote Thursday. “The Department of the Treasury will not relent until the Iranian regime’s coffers are empty and every remaining…
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Sen. Adam Schiff visits Point Loma High School to discuss immigration enforcementPOINT LOMA (KGTV) — U.S. Sen. Adam Schiff visited Point Loma High School on Thursday to discuss how immigration enforcement has impacted San Diego schools. The visit marked the first time in 13 years that a U.S. senator visited a school in… -
San Diego school leaders, Sen. Schiff condemn ICE arrests near schoolsSenator Adam Schiff joined congressional colleagues at Point Loma High School to demand an end to ICE enforcement near schools. NBC 7’s Shelby Bremer has the story. Sen. Adam Schiff visited San Diego Thursday, stopping at Point Loma High…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions