Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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Pennsylvania Governor election: Josh Shapiro vote percent
The odds
61.55%median
48%68%
Median 61.55%Middle half 60.14% – 63.13%
How the odds have moved
Median: 61.42% on Oct 20, 61.55% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 97% | 95¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 52% | 97% | 95¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 1.2K | |
| At least 54% | 97% | 95¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 29.00 | |
| At least 56% | 97% | 95¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 2.00 | |
| At least 58% | 95% | 92¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 200 | |
| At least 60% | 78% | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 214 | |
| At least 62% | 42% | ▼ 1 | 38¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 3.0K |
| At least 64% | 12% | ▼ 1 | 8¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 57.00 |
| At least 66% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 423 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Pennsylvania Governor, Josh Shapiro
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Gov. Josh Shapiro touts record, labor support at Pittsburgh campaign rallyOctober 24, 2026 / 11:21 PM EDT / CBS Pittsburgh Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro rallied on Pittsburgh's South Side Saturday as part of a stop on his get-out-the-vote statewide bus tour. The event was held at the IBEW Local 5 Hall 10 days… -
Pennsylvania governor expected to sign school cellphone ban into lawCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting… -
Gov. Josh Shapiro Kicks Off Bus Tour in Erie Before ElectionWith the general election less than two weeks away, Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro kicked off his campaign bus tour in Erie on Saturday morning, where he was greeted by dozens of supporters. Those who attended the kickoff rally said… -
Exclusive – Rep. Scott Perry: Gov. Josh Shapiro Envisions Himself ‘Running for President,’ ‘That’s What He’s Gearing Up For’Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro (D) envisions himself “running for president,” Rep. Scott Perry (R-PA), up for reelection in Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District, said during an appearance on Breitbart News Daily. Perry spoke about… -
Josh Shapiro’s second-term push for PA governor: Key issues, background, pollingPENNSYLVANIA - With Election Day less than three weeks away, Gov. Josh Shapiro is asking Pennsylvania voters for a second term as he faces Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity on the Nov. 3 ballot. Shapiro, alongside Lt. Gov. Austin… -
Why Josh Shapiro put himself on the line for the midterms — but still won’t talk about 2028There’s been a noticeable shift in the first-term Democrat, as he's gone all-in to flip the state Senate and is more willing to directly challenge President Donald Trump. That's not by accident. Josh Shapiro knows you’re going to ask. He… -
Josh Shapiro Headed for Crushing Win in PennsylvaniaA new Franklin & Marshall College poll finds Josh Shapiro (D) leading Stacy Garrity (R) in the governor’s race, 59% to 36%. Governor’s Race Josh Shapiro (D) 59% Stacy Garrity (R) 36% Franklin & Marshall College poll · likely voters · ±4.1%… -
Josh Shapiro maintains lead over Stacy Garrity in Pennsylvania gubernatorial race: pollWHP CBS 21 Harrisburg provides local news, weather, sports, community events and items of interest for Harrisburg Lancaster Lebanon York and nearby towns and communities in the greater Harrisburg area including, Hershey, Hummelstown… -
Shapiro and Garrity set for bruising Pennsylvania governor battlePennsylvania's race for governor this fall will pit Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity in a contest that could shape national politics heading into 2028. Shapiro enters the matchup as a clear… -
Map Shows Where Top 2028 Democrats Are Campaigning Ahead of MidtermsOct 23, 2026 at 06:38 PM EDT Potential 2028 Democratic presidential candidates like former Vice President Kamala Harris, Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg are hitting the campaign… -
Josh Shapiro Way Up in Pennsylvania Governor’s RaceA new PennLive poll in Pennsylvania finds Josh Shapiro (D) leading Stacy Garrity (R) in the governor’s race, 58% to 28%. Pennsylvania Governor’s Race Josh Shapiro (D) 58% Stacy Garrity (R) 28% PennLive poll · registered voters · ±4.5% A… -
Josh Shapiro makes pitch to union voters ahead of November’s electionGov. Josh Shapiro is looking to increase support among union voters after carrying them by a 22-point-margin in the 2022 election. At a time when Democrats are debating how to win back working-class voters in the era of President Donald…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions