Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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Michigan Governor election: John James vote percent
The odds
44.24%median
36%56%
Median 44.24%Middle half 41.8% – 46.81%
How the odds have moved
Median: 44.4% on Oct 19, 44.24% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | |||
| At least 40% | 89% | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 200 | |
| At least 42% | 74% | 69¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | 180 | |
| At least 44% | 53% | 48¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | ||
| At least 46% | 32% | 27¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | ||
| At least 48% | 16% | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 164 | |
| At least 50% | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | ||
| At least 52% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 315 | ||
| At least 54% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Michigan Governor, John James
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Late $1.8M surge for John James tests Michigan campaign finance lawLANSING — A $1.8 million ad buy from the Michigan Republican Party helped Republican gubernatorial nominee John James pull near even with rival Jocelyn Benson in post-primary fundraising but sparked a swift legal complaint from state… -
One-on-one: Jocelyn Benson on her plans, priorities if elected Michigan governorLANSING, Mich. — It's less than two weeks from finding out who Michigan's next governor will be; and, outgoing Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson (D) is making her final case for voters before the big day. She kicked off a bus tour Thursday… -
I’m a Democrat and I’m voting for John James. You should, too.In one of my undergraduate classes at the University of Michigan, I asked a classmate what they thought about gubernatorial candidate Jocelyn Benson. They replied that Benson seemed like just another Democrat, without any forceful agenda… -
Fact check: John James bought second home, but no evidence he left his districtDuring a recent debate, Democratic gubernatorial candidate Jocelyn Benson accused Republican opponent John James of moving to a multimillion-dollar home outside of the district he represents in Congress. Benson has repeatedly used James’… -
John James pushes bipartisanship, veteran support in Grand Haven campaign stop“So, as someone who is a combat veteran, I understand deeply the need and the obligation that we have to take care of our veterans.” U.S. Representative for Michigan’s 10th congressional district John James met with veterans in Grand… -
Rep John James: Michigan is the center of the universe for this midtermFox News Rep John James: Michigan is the center of the universe for this midterm Rep. John James, R-Mich., discusses his race for governor and other midterm races on 'Hannity.' Rep. John James, R-Mich., discusses his race for governor… - Faith takes center stage at John James campaign event in rural Southwest MichiganAttendees flocked to Paw Paw area fruit farm Brookside Farms Wednesday for a Republican campaign event featuring current US Representative and Michigan gubernatorial hopeful John James, and US Representative Bill Huizenga — who is up for…
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What Michigan governor candidates said they'd do to lower costs for MichigandersMichigan gubernatorial candidates John James and Jocelyn Benson were asked in a debate what they would do to lower costs for Michiganders if elected governor. In the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial debate, hosted by WDIV and moderated by… -
Michigan 2026 Election ResultsGeneral election, November 3, 2026 Results will appear on this page on election night, November 3, 2026, as votes are counted. The last polls in Michigan close at 9 PM ET. Follow every state live → On the Michigan ballot: governor plus 3… -
These years of Democratic leadership have failed us, Michigan gubernatorial candidate saysFox News These years of Democratic leadership have failed us, Michigan gubernatorial candidate says Michigan gubernatorial candidate John James discusses the key issues he’s honing in on ahead of his election on ‘The Big Weekend Show.’ -
Former President Barack Obama campaigns for Michigan Democrats at Detroit rallyOctober 24, 2026 / 8:27 PM EDT / CBS Detroit With a little over a week to go before the midterm elections, all eyes are on Michigan as a battleground state. Former President Barack Obama was in Detroit Saturday to drum up voter support for…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions