Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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Connecticut Governor election: Ryan Fazio vote percent
The odds
40.76%median
28%50%
Median 40.76%Middle half 37.83% – 43.22%
How the odds have moved
Median: 39.68% on Oct 20, 40.76% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 30% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 12.00 | ||
| At least 32% | 98% | ▲ 1 | 95¢ | $1.03 | 1.0K | |
| At least 34% | 96% | ▲ 2 | 93¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 10.00 |
| At least 36% | 91% | ▲ 10 | 87¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 437 |
| At least 38% | 74% | ▲ 7 | 73¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 874 |
| At least 40% | 59% | ▲ 10 | 54¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | 57.00 |
| At least 42% | 36% | ▲ 8 | 32¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | 5.00 |
| At least 44% | 18% | ▲ 4 | 14¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 41.00 |
| At least 46% | 10% | ▲ 6 | 9¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 211 |
| At least 48% | 4% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Connecticut Governor, Ryan Fazio
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A recap of the Connecticut governor debate between Ned Lamont and Ryan FazioDemocratic Gov. Ned Lamont and his Republican challenger, state Sen. Ryan Fazio, faced off Thursday in their first formal debate of the gubernatorial race, hosted by CT Insider and WFSB-TV Eyewitness News Channel 3. With the Nov. 3… -
Ned Lamont and Ryan Fazio square off in first of two debates for Connecticut governorROCKY HILL — Gov. Ned Lamont and Republican challenger Ryan Fazio spared Thursday night over electric rates, taxes and the broad issue of affordability in Connecticut during the first of two encounters less than two weeks before the… -
Ned Lamont and Ryan Fazio clash in Connecticut governor debate over taxes, electric ratesGovernor Ned Lamont, left, and State Senator Ryan Fazio shake hands after a gubernatorial debate at WFSB in Rocky Hill on October 22, 2026. Dan Haar, right, senior editor and columnist for CT Insider, and Susan Raff, far right, chief… -
Live updates from the Connecticut governor debate between Ned Lamont and Ryan FazioDemocratic Gov. Ned Lamont and his Republican challenger, state Sen. Ryan Fazio, are facing off Thursday in their first formal debate of the gubernatorial race, hosted by CT Insider and WFSB-TV Eyewitness News Channel 3. With the Nov. 3… -
Ned Lamont and Ryan Fazio square off in debateYour reporter Dylan Fearon recaps Thursday night's gubernatorial debate. Chief meteorologist Mark Dixon said we'll see some temperature swings ahead. Here's his Friday noon forecast. An American ... Ned Lamont and Ryan Fazio square off in… -
Ryan Fazio (opinion): I'm running 'to keep Connecticut’s people here'Ryan Fazio walks the floor of delegates during the Republican State Convention in May at the Mohegan Sun Expo Center in Uncasville. Every day I am on the campaign trail, no matter the smallest town or biggest city, I hear almost the same… -
GOP governor candidate Ryan Fazio Q&ARepublican gubernatorial candidate Sen. Ryan Fazio of Greenwich was born and raised in Norwalk. After earning a degree in economics from Northwestern University, he returned to the state to work and build a life — working professionally in… -
Fact check: Reviewing claims from Lamont, Fazio in CT governor debateGovernor Ned Lamont, left, and State Senator Ryan Fazio participate in a gubernatorial debate at WFSB in Rocky Hill on October 22, 2026. The debate on Thursday was the first in the 2026 Connecticut governor’s race. The first gubernatorial… -
Mayor Mamdani puts out new ad supporting Hochul's run for reelection: Oct. 22 election updatePolitical newcomer and Army veteran Cait Conley is running against Congressman Mike Lawler in a midterm race that could impact the balance of power in Washington. NY-17 covers parts of Rockland, Putnam, Westchester and Dutchess counties in… -
Lamont is attacking the $2 trillion federal deficit. Connecticut still owes about $80 billionGovernor Ned Lamont, right, meets with reporters after a gubernatorial debate against State Senator Ryan Fazio at WFSB in Rocky Hill on October 22, 2026. Democratic Gov. Ned Lamont and his reelection campaign mostly mention state debt to… - Dan Haar: The best attack zingers from Fazio and Lamont at WFSB-CT Insider debateGovernor Ned Lamont, left, and State Senator Ryan Fazio participate in a gubernatorial debate at WFSB in Rocky Hill on October 22, 2026. If you watched the hourlong debate Thursday night between Gov. Ned Lamont and state Sen. Ryan Fazio…
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Norwich voters deciding on $55M police headquarters referendum as early voting underwayShould Norwich move its police headquarters? Voters are deciding that question right now, with early voting underway through Election Day on Nov. 3. Norwich voters deciding on $55M police headquarters referendum as early voting underway…
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15.83%median
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Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
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10.72%median
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
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Median 45.43%Middle half 42.33% – 48.36%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions