Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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Arizona Governor election: Katie Hobbs vote percent
The odds
53.18%median
44%66%
Median 53.18%Middle half 51% – 55.29%
How the odds have moved
Median: 53.23% on Oct 20, 53.18% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 46% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 48% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | 19.00 | ||
| At least 50% | 85% | ▲ 1 | 81¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 5.1K |
| At least 52% | 65% | ▲ 1 | 61¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | 255 |
| At least 54% | 40% | ▲ 1 | 35¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 30.00 |
| At least 56% | 17% | 13¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 8.00 | |
| At least 58% | 6% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 5.00 |
| At least 60% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 168 | ||
| At least 62% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 372 | ||
| At least 64% | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 455 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Arizona Governor, Katie Hobbs
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Katie Hobbs Invests $16 Million to Fight HomelessnessGovernor Katie Hobbs (D-AZ) has announced a $16 million investment to fight homelessness in Arizona. The money, drawn from the State Housing Trust Fund, will go to various civic organizations and charities that shelter and help the… -
Katie Hobbs Allies Caught Encouraging Noncitizens and Felons to Vote [WATCH]Undercover video released by Muckraker is raising new questions about voter registration practices in Arizona after canvassers aligned with Gov. Katie Hobbs were recorded discussing immigration status, convicted felons, and voter… -
Watch: Arizona Governor-Aligned Canvassers Caught Willing To Allow Noncitizens To VoteCanvassers registering voters for groups backing Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs's re-election told undercover Muckraker journalists posing as a non-citizen and as a felon on probation that they could go ahead and register to vote, hidden-camera… - Watch: Pro-Katie Hobbs Canvassers Are Willing to Let Noncitizens, Felons VoteUndercover video captured canvassers aligned with Gov. Katie Hobbs (D-Ariz.) saying they don’t believe in asking about immigration status or actively encouraging self-identified noncitizens and felons to register and vote. All of that, of…
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MUST WATCH: Katie Hobbs Canvassers Busted by Muckraker Trying to Register Felons and Noncitizens to Vote – Hobbs RUNS When Confronted!Muckraker on Thursday published an election report out of Arizona, using undercover reporters to catch the Democratic Party, nonprofit groups, and labor unions backing Incumbent Governor Katie Hobbs, attempting to illegally register… - Andy Biggs Pledges to Sign Vetoed Bills as Arizona GovernorNot every piece of GOP legislation needs Hobbs' signature to move forward, however. Legislative leaders passed seven resolutions along party lines this year that bypass her veto entirely and go straight to voters, the Arizona Mirror…
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Katie Hobbs says she won’t debate Andy Biggs, opting instead to tour the stateFor the second election cycle in a row, Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs is refusing to debate her Republican opponent. Hobbs narrowly won the governor’s seat by about 17,000 votes in 2022 after she declined to share a debate stage with Republican… - Yuma Democrats criticize Biggs over rising costs ahead of Election DayEditor's Note: KAWC spoke with Congressman Andy Biggs on Thursday. Hear Biggs' response to Copper State Victory's comments in our interview with him. See the link below. Yuma-area Democrats criticized Republican U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs over…
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Arizona accommodated gaming megadonor while cracking down on its rivalsArizona’s top Democrats have delayed for two years in enforcing legal action against an online gaming giant that has supported them politically. But regulators acted swiftly to crack down on the company’s rivals. Gov. Katie Hobbs and… -
Arizona judicial retention efforts take on partisan tingePartisan voter guides from all sides of the political spectrum are airing long lists of judges allegedly unfit to keep on the court. But those campaigns to remove sitting judges are gambling on the outcome of the governor's race this… -
Assistant U.S. Attorney Reminds California Processing Noncitizen Ballots Is a CrimeDemocrat politicians and officials always believe, unfortunately because it almost always is true in practice though not in principle, that they are above the law. But a United States attorney is reminding California Democrats that if they… -
Where Arizona governor candidates are getting their fundingKOLD Where Arizona governor candidates are getting their funding Colorado Springs seeking input on plan to revitalize creeks Cajuns turn focus to Southern Miss after 33-6 bounce-back win over Troy Quincy City Council hears first reading on…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions