Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 20, 2026

Kalshi Economy Closed Wed 12:55 AM ET · $2.5K today · $2.5K traded · $2.2K at stake

Settled 60,239.11A day before, traders had a median of 60,250

The last odds before it closed

—
  • ✓ Above 55,000 MW99%
  • ✓ Above 55,500 MW—
  • ✓ Above 56,000 MW99%
  • ✓ Above 56,500 MW98%
  • ✓ Above 57,000 MW—
  • ✓ Above 57,500 MW—
  • ✓ Above 58,000 MW—
  • ✓ Above 58,500 MW—
  • ✓ Above 59,000 MW95%
  • ✓ Above 59,500 MW98%
  • ✓ Above 60,000 MW99%
  • Above 60,500 MW1%
7 more
  • Above 61,000 MW1%
  • Above 61,500 MW1%
  • Above 62,000 MW—
  • Above 62,500 MW1%
  • Above 63,000 MW1%
  • Above 63,500 MW—
  • Above 64,000 MW—

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Last odds Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ Above 55,000 MW 99% 300
✓ Above 55,500 MW —
✓ Above 56,000 MW 99% 53.00
✓ Above 56,500 MW 98% 3.00
✓ Above 57,000 MW —
✓ Above 57,500 MW —
✓ Above 58,000 MW —
✓ Above 58,500 MW —
✓ Above 59,000 MW 95% 626
✓ Above 59,500 MW 98% 205
✓ Above 60,000 MW 99% 1.3K
✗ Above 60,500 MW 1% 2.5K
✗ Above 61,000 MW 1% 1.1K
✗ Above 61,500 MW 1% 1.9K
✗ Above 62,000 MW —
✗ Above 62,500 MW 1% 6.00
✗ Above 63,000 MW 1% 1.3K
✗ Above 63,500 MW —
✗ Above 64,000 MW —

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Texas ERCOT

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96%0 (0 bps)
  • 0 (0 bps)96%
  • 1 (25 bps)1%
  • 2 (50 bps)<1%
10 more
  • 3 (75 bps)<1%
  • 4 (100 bps)<1%
  • 6 (150 bps)<1%
  • 7 (175 bps)<1%
  • 5 (125 bps)<1%
  • 8 (200 bps)<1%
  • 9 (225 bps)<1%
  • 10 (250 bps)<1%
  • 11 (275 bps)<1%
  • 12+ (300+ bps)<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.