Who will Trump pardon? (Before Jan 21, 2029)

Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Jan 21, 2029 · $406 today · $171K traded · $83.2K at stake · prices read 19 min ago

The odds

66%Eric Trump
  • Eric Trump66%
  • Jared Kushner64%▲ 1
  • Donald Trump Jr.63%▲ 1
  • Pete Hegseth56%▼ 1
  • Donald Trump49%▲ 5
  • Barron Trump48%▲ 2
  • Scott Bessent44%
  • Keonne Rodriguez44%▲ 1
  • Susie Wiles43%▲ 1
  • Torence Hatch42%▼ 1
  • Bill Hwang41%▲ 1
  • Todd Blanche41%▲ 1
40 more
  • Robin Smith38%▼ 2
  • Elizabeth Holmes38%▲ 2
  • Pam Bondi38%▲ 1
  • Elon Musk37%▲ 1
  • Eric Adams36%
  • Prakazrel Michel36%
  • JD Vance36%
  • Edward Snowden35%▲ 1
  • Steve Bannon35%▼ 1
  • Sam Bankman-Fried33%▲ 2
  • Ghislaine Maxwell32%
  • Tim Leissner32%▼ 2
  • Martin Shkreli31%▲ 1
  • Marco Rubio31%
  • Jho Low31%
  • Larry Householder30%▲ 1
  • Julian Assange30%▲ 1
  • Sean Combs29%
  • Derek Chauvin28%▲ 2
  • Pete Rose27%▲ 1
  • Kisean Anderson26%▲ 1
  • Bob Menendez25%▼ 2
  • Justin Sun24%▲ 2
  • Do Kwon24%▲ 2
  • Tou Thao21%▲ 1
  • Joe Giudice21%▲ 1
  • Joseph Maldonado19%▲ 1
  • Matt Borges16%▲ 1
  • Leon Stanton15%▲ 1
  • Safaree Samuels14%
  • Daniel Hale14%▲ 1
  • Brian Cole Jr.14%▼ 2
  • Jeffery Williams11%
  • Sebastian Telfair10%
  • Alex Mashinsky10%
  • Ty Garbin9%
  • DeAndre Way9%
  • Jose Muyet9%
  • Roger Ver7%
  • Hunter Biden5%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Eric Trump 66% 64¢ 67¢ $1.49 10.1K
Jared Kushner 64% ▲ 1 61¢ 66¢ $1.52 8.0K
Donald Trump Jr. 63% ▲ 1 62¢ 63¢ $1.59 20.9K
Pete Hegseth 56% ▼ 1 54¢ 59¢ $1.69 6.8K
Donald Trump 49% ▲ 5 47¢ 51¢ $1.96 66.3K
Barron Trump 48% ▲ 2 47¢ 49¢ $2.04 70.4K
Scott Bessent 44% 42¢ 46¢ $2.17 4.6K
Keonne Rodriguez 44% ▲ 1 40¢ 47¢ $2.13 2.3K
Susie Wiles 43% ▲ 1 40¢ 45¢ $2.22 3.0K
Torence Hatch 42% ▼ 1 39¢ 45¢ $2.22 9.6K
Bill Hwang 41% ▲ 1 37¢ 44¢ $2.27 284
Todd Blanche 41% ▲ 1 38¢ 43¢ $2.33 3.5K
Robin Smith 38% ▼ 2 35¢ 41¢ $2.44 3.2K
Elizabeth Holmes 38% ▲ 2 35¢ 41¢ $2.44 1.3K
Pam Bondi 38% ▲ 1 34¢ 42¢ $2.38 2.8K
Elon Musk 37% ▲ 1 35¢ 39¢ $2.56 6.2K
Eric Adams 36% 34¢ 38¢ $2.63 3.4K
Prakazrel Michel 36% 34¢ 38¢ $2.63 5.9K
JD Vance 36% 35¢ 37¢ $2.70 4.7K
Edward Snowden 35% ▲ 1 33¢ 37¢ $2.70 16.5K
Steve Bannon 35% ▼ 1 33¢ 37¢ $2.70 8.6K
Sam Bankman-Fried 33% ▲ 2 32¢ 34¢ $2.94 17.5K
Ghislaine Maxwell 32% 30¢ 34¢ $2.94 34.4K
Tim Leissner 32% ▼ 2 30¢ 33¢ $3.03 6.7K
Martin Shkreli 31% ▲ 1 28¢ 33¢ $3.03 2.5K
Marco Rubio 31% 26¢ 35¢ $2.86 5.0K
Jho Low 31% 30¢ 31¢ $3.23 1.3K
Larry Householder 30% ▲ 1 28¢ 31¢ $3.23 9.3K
Julian Assange 30% ▲ 1 27¢ 32¢ $3.13 4.8K
Sean Combs 29% 28¢ 30¢ $3.33 41.4K
Derek Chauvin 28% ▲ 2 26¢ 30¢ $3.33 6.7K
Pete Rose 27% ▲ 1 23¢ 31¢ $3.23 4.2K
Kisean Anderson 26% ▲ 1 22¢ 30¢ $3.33 1.8K
Bob Menendez 25% ▼ 2 21¢ 28¢ $3.57 4.4K
Justin Sun 24% ▲ 2 21¢ 26¢ $3.85 1.8K
Do Kwon 24% ▲ 2 21¢ 26¢ $3.85 1.2K
Tou Thao 21% ▲ 1 18¢ 24¢ $4.17 694
Joe Giudice 21% ▲ 1 17¢ 25¢ $4.00 459
Joseph Maldonado 19% ▲ 1 15¢ 22¢ $4.55 887
Matt Borges 16% ▲ 1 13¢ 19¢ $5.26 1.6K
Leon Stanton 15% ▲ 1 11¢ 19¢ $5.26 1.6K
Safaree Samuels 14% 9¢ 18¢ $5.56 1.0K
Daniel Hale 14% ▲ 1 11¢ 16¢ $6.25 1.2K
Brian Cole Jr. 14% ▼ 2 13¢ 14¢ $7.14 6.0K
Jeffery Williams 11% 8¢ 13¢ $7.69 1.3K
Sebastian Telfair 10% 5¢ 14¢ $7.14 400
Alex Mashinsky 10% 8¢ 11¢ $9.09 7.6K
Ty Garbin 9% 8¢ 11¢ $9.09 5.8K
DeAndre Way 9% 4¢ 13¢ $7.69 1.2K
Jose Muyet 9% 5¢ 12¢ $8.33 1.4K
Roger Ver 7% 5¢ 9¢ $11.49 6.1K
Hunter Biden 5% 2¢ 8¢ $11.90 2.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Eric Trump, Jared Kushner, Donald Trump Jr.

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?

82%SI / Super Intelligence
  • SI / Super Intelligence82%▲ 16
  • Russia / Ukraine81%▲ 11
  • Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times77%▼ 10
19 more
  • Drag Show69%▲ 6
  • Transgender 5+ times65%▼ 13
  • America First / Gulf of America65%▲ 3
  • Ass64%▼ 1
  • Animal63%▲ 2
  • Hormuz / Blockade61%▼ 1
  • Fertilizer / Rural54%▲ 8
  • Hell 15+ times51%▼ 3
  • Tax 33+ times38%▼ 9
  • Fentanyl / Deport / Deported36%▲ 4
  • Data Center / Electric / Electricity36%▼ 4
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence31%▼ 14
  • Regulation / Regulatory28%▲ 1
  • Star26%▼ 16
  • Bull / Bullshit24%▼ 18
  • Gay / Palestine23%▲ 2
  • Maduro19%▼ 10
  • Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency3%▲ 1
  • -No Qualifying Event-1%▼ 3

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

85%Vladimir Putin
  • Vladimir Putin85%
  • Mohammed bin Salman77%▼ 3
  • Kim Jong Un13%▼ 18
11 more
  • Aleksandr Lukashenko11%▼ 2
  • Lai Ching-te11%▲ 7
  • King Mohammed VI11%▼ 2
  • Changpeng Zhao11%
  • iShowSpeed10%▲ 7
  • Pope Leo XIV5%
  • MrBeast5%
  • Nick Fuentes3%
  • Yoon Suk Yeol3%
  • Nicolás Maduro2%
  • Jair Bolsonaro2%▼ 1

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? (Before Jan 20, 2029)

14%Anna Kelly
  • Anna Kelly14%▲ 3
  • Scott Jennings14%▼ 1
  • Elizabeth Pipko6%▲ 1
57 more
  • Alina Habba3%
  • Steven Cheung3%▲ 2
  • Danielle Alvarez3%
  • Margo Martin3%
  • Kari Lake2%
  • No new person2%▲ 1
  • Rachel Campos-Duffy2%
  • Roma Daravi2%
  • Laura Loomer2%▲ 1
  • Tricia McLaughlin2%
  • Maria Bartiromo2%▼ 1
  • Erin Elmore Scavino2%
  • Karoline Leavitt2%
  • Jason Miller1%
  • Sage Steele1%
  • Tucker Carlson1%
  • Liz Huston1%
  • Natalie Harp1%
  • Spencer Pratt1%
  • Lara Trump1%
  • Jayme Franklin1%
  • Erika Kirk1%
  • Matthew Boyle1%
  • Taylor Budowich1%
  • Katie Miller1%▼ 3
  • Monica Crowley1%
  • Kush Desai1%
  • Ari Fleischer1%
  • Benny Johnson1%
  • Matt Walsh1%
  • Ben Shapiro1%
  • Jack Posobiec1%
  • Mike Cernovich1%
  • Dan Bongino1%
  • Kayleigh McEnany1%
  • Harrison Fields1%
  • Taylor Rogers1%▼ 1
  • Hogan Gidley1%
  • Katie Pavlich1%▼ 1
  • Lauren Bis1%
  • Pat Adams1%
  • Kaelan Dorr1%
  • Vanessa Broussard1%
  • Cara Castronuova1%
  • Mark Levin1%
  • Logan Paul1%
  • Jake Paul1%
  • Eric Daugherty1%
  • Ben Ferguson1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard1%
  • Beni Rae Harmony1%
  • Peter Doocy1%
  • Sean Spicer1%
  • Marco Rubio1%
  • Kat Timpf1%
  • Kaylee McGhee White1%
  • George Santos1%
KalshiCloses Jan 27, 2029 · $17.5K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.