Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Hegseth
89%
88¢
89¢
$1.12
2.0K
Iran / Iranian
88%
86¢
90¢
$1.11
1.5K
Nuclear
80%
79¢
81¢
$1.23
1.4K
Vietnam
76%
75¢
77¢
$1.30
1.3K
Medal of Honor
67%
66¢
67¢
$1.49
1.2K
Space Force
67%
66¢
67¢
$1.49
4.1K
Homeless / Homelessness
61%
60¢
61¢
$1.64
4.0K
Department of War
57%
57¢
58¢
$1.72
2.2K
Biden
49%
48¢
49¢
$2.04
6.2K
Afghanistan
48%
47¢
48¢
$2.08
2.1K
Gold Star
47%
46¢
48¢
$2.08
2.7K
Healthcare / Health Care
42%
41¢
42¢
$2.38
4.0K
Border
35%
33¢
36¢
$2.78
1.0K
Russia / Russian
27%
26¢
27¢
$3.70
776
China / Chinese
22%
21¢
22¢
$4.55
1.1K
Ukraine / Ukrainian
20%
19¢
20¢
$5.00
1.1K
Peace Through Strength
19%
18¢
19¢
$5.26
2.0K
Tariff
19%
18¢
19¢
$5.26
377
Stock Market
14%
13¢
14¢
$7.14
988
Ceasefire
13%
12¢
13¢
$7.69
1.4K
Drone
13%
12¢
13¢
$7.69
1.2K
Israel / Israeli
13%
12¢
13¢
$7.69
1.5K
Golden Dome
7%
6¢
7¢
$14.29
929
Crypto / Bitcoin
1%
1¢
$100.00
41.3K
Event does not qualify
1%
1¢
$100.00
1.8K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions