2026: Trump's dream year?

Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $17 today · $29.5K traded · $9.1K at stake · prices read 27 min ago

The odds

5%chance▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Yes: 5% on Oct 20, 5% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 5% ▼ 1 3¢ 6¢ $15.87 615.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Trump

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  • Tracking Trump: Trump attacks Zelensky; Putin proposes meeting with U.S., China; Trump calls judge a ‘lunatic’; and moreThe Washington Post · 7 h agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Trump escalated his…
  • Trump launches women's health division within NIH alongside Melania TrumpCBS News · 11 h agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Trump launches…
  • Trump gushes over 'very skilled' Melania Trump at executive order signingFox News · 12 h agoPresident Donald Trump praises first lady Melania Trump's work on an executive order to establish a women's health division at the National Institutes of Health and a White House Women's Health Task Force. Trump gushes over 'very skilled'…
  • SEE IT: President Donald Trump and First Lady Melania Trump sign executive order on women's healthFox News · 7 h agoPresident Donald Trump and First Lady Melania Trump sign an executive order focused on advancing women's health, then hand out commemorative pens to Cabinet members involved in the initiative. SEE IT: President Donald Trump and First Lady…
  • Trump’s growing Ukraine backlashPOLITICO · 10 h agoThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. You will now start receiving email updates 10/19/2026 02:08 PM EDT President Donald Trump’s recent pivot toward working more with Russian President Vladimir…
  • President Trump defends Russia sanctions waiverFox News · 9 h agoU.S. Army Maj. Gen. James 'Spider' Marks discusses President Donald Trump's role in the Russia-Ukraine conflict on 'America Reports.' ... President Trump defends Russia sanctions waiver U.S. Army Maj. Gen. James 'Spider' Marks discusses…
  • Trump faces backlash over Russian oilCBS News · 15 h agoCBS News Boston 9am CBS News Chicago 8am CBS News Colorado This Morning 7am CBS News Detroit 9am CBS News Los Angeles Mornings 6am CBS News Miami 9am
  • Sticker tycoon. Trump cheerleader. Rapper. Congressman?the Guardian · 19 h agoAnthony Constantino wants to fill Elise Stefanik’s seat in New York. But his lead in the formerly Trump-loving district is narrowing The boss of a New York-based sticker company, whose staunch support for Donald Trump prompted him to…
  • Starshield Gives Trump Massive Power Over UkraineNewsweek · 9 h agoOct 19, 2026 at 11:58 AM EDT As confusion reigned over who was responsible for abruptly imposing limits on Ukraine's use of the Starshield satellite system, one thing did become obvious: Kyiv remains painfully at the mercy of U.S. whims…
  • Trump waives new Russia sanctionssemafor.com · 30 h agoUS President Donald Trump waived new sanctions on Russia days before they were set to take effect, reversing a bipartisan congressional push and raising fresh questions about Washington’s commitment to Ukraine. Trump waives new Russia…
  • 2026 Midterm Elections: Trump Campaigns in KansasFox News · 15 h agoPresident Donald Trump is taking his midterm campaign to Kansas as Democrats look to regain ground with Latino and rural voters in competitive House and Senate races. President Donald Trump is scheduled to rally for Republican Sen. Roger…
  • GOP lawmakers scramble to spare Ukraine from TrumpPOLITICO · 7 h agoLawmakers are struggling to find a way to convince the president to stop cozying up to Russia. President Donald Trump speaks with reporters before boarding Marine One on the South Lawn of the White House on Monday. (Francis Chung/POLITICO…

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?

>99%Transgender 5+ times
  • Transgender 5+ times>99%▲ 22
  • SI / Super Intelligence>99%▲ 33
  • Star>99%▲ 59
19 more
  • Gay / Palestine>99%▲ 79
  • Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times>99%▲ 13
  • Regulation / Regulatory100%▲ 72
  • Ass1%▼ 64
  • Bull / Bullshit1%▼ 40
  • Fertilizer / Rural1%▼ 47
  • Animal1%▼ 62
  • Drag Show1%▼ 64
  • Maduro1%▼ 26
  • Data Center / Electric / Electricity1%▼ 38
  • Russia / Ukraine1%▼ 72
  • Hormuz / Blockade1%▼ 58
  • Fentanyl / Deport / Deported1%▼ 32
  • America First / Gulf of America1%▼ 62
  • Hell 15+ times<1%▼ 54
  • Tax 33+ times<1%▼ 45
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence<1%▼ 45
  • Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency<1%▼ 2
  • -No Qualifying Event-<1%▼ 3

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

85%Vladimir Putin
  • Vladimir Putin85%▼ 3
  • Mohammed bin Salman78%▼ 2
  • Kim Jong Un19%▼ 11
11 more
  • Aleksandr Lukashenko11%▼ 3
  • Changpeng Zhao11%
  • King Mohammed VI9%▼ 4
  • iShowSpeed8%▲ 4
  • Lai Ching-te7%▲ 3
  • Pope Leo XIV5%
  • MrBeast5%
  • Nick Fuentes3%
  • Yoon Suk Yeol3%
  • Nicolás Maduro2%
  • Jair Bolsonaro2%▼ 1

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? (Before Jan 20, 2029)

14%Anna Kelly
  • Anna Kelly14%▼ 1
  • Scott Jennings14%▼ 1
  • Elizabeth Pipko6%▲ 1
57 more
  • Alina Habba3%
  • Danielle Alvarez3%
  • Margo Martin3%
  • Steven Cheung2%
  • Kari Lake2%▼ 1
  • No new person2%▲ 1
  • Roma Daravi2%
  • Laura Loomer2%▲ 1
  • Monica Crowley2%▲ 1
  • Tricia McLaughlin2%
  • Maria Bartiromo2%
  • Karoline Leavitt2%▲ 1
  • Jason Miller1%
  • Sage Steele1%
  • Tucker Carlson1%
  • Liz Huston1%
  • Natalie Harp1%
  • Rachel Campos-Duffy1%▼ 1
  • Spencer Pratt1%
  • Lara Trump1%
  • Jayme Franklin1%
  • Erika Kirk1%
  • Matthew Boyle1%
  • Taylor Budowich1%
  • Katie Miller1%▼ 1
  • Kush Desai1%
  • Ari Fleischer1%
  • Benny Johnson1%
  • Matt Walsh1%
  • Ben Shapiro1%
  • Jack Posobiec1%
  • Mike Cernovich1%
  • Dan Bongino1%
  • Kayleigh McEnany1%
  • Harrison Fields1%
  • Taylor Rogers1%▼ 1
  • Hogan Gidley1%
  • Katie Pavlich1%▼ 1
  • Lauren Bis1%
  • Pat Adams1%
  • Kaelan Dorr1%
  • Vanessa Broussard1%
  • Cara Castronuova1%
  • Mark Levin1%
  • Logan Paul1%
  • Jake Paul1%
  • Eric Daugherty1%
  • Ben Ferguson1%
  • Erin Elmore Scavino1%▼ 1
  • Tulsi Gabbard1%
  • Beni Rae Harmony1%
  • Peter Doocy1%
  • Sean Spicer1%
  • Marco Rubio1%
  • Kat Timpf1%
  • Kaylee McGhee White1%
  • George Santos1%
KalshiCloses Jan 27, 2029 · $17.3K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.