Predictions › Politics › Trump administration Will Trump publicly call for a global AI slowdown? (Before Jan 1, 2027) Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Dec 31 · $25 today · $583 traded · $210 at stake · prices read 3 h ago
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
October 31 14% ▼ 5 November 30 54% ▼ 6 December 31 77% ▼ 4
Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times 87% ▲ 1 Drag Show 80% ▲ 3 Transgender 5+ times 78% ▼ 5 19 more SI / Super Intelligence 74% ▼ 2 Ass 74% ▲ 8 Russia / Ukraine 74% ▲ 4 America First / Gulf of America 64% ▼ 5 Hell 15+ times 61% ▲ 2 Hormuz / Blockade 61% ▼ 2 Animal 59% ▼ 6 Fertilizer / Rural 56% ▲ 11 Fentanyl / Deport / Deported 53% ▲ 22 Data Center / Electric / Electricity 46% ▲ 13 Tax 33+ times 42% ▼ 4 AI / Artificial Intelligence 42% ▼ 3 Bull / Bullshit 40% ▼ 1 Star 40% ▲ 3 Regulation / Regulatory 33% ▼ 5 Gay / Palestine 27% ▲ 5 Maduro 19% ▼ 13 Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency 3% ▲ 1 -No Qualifying Event- 1%
-1 5
Median 1.58 Middle half 1.13 – 2.29
Vladimir Putin 87% ▲ 4 Mohammed bin Salman 77% ▼ 3 Kim Jong Un 13% ▼ 18 11 more Aleksandr Lukashenko 11% ▼ 2 Changpeng Zhao 11% King Mohammed VI 10% ▼ 2 Pope Leo XIV 5% MrBeast 5% iShowSpeed 4% Lai Ching-te 4% Jair Bolsonaro 3% Nick Fuentes 3% Yoon Suk Yeol 3% Nicolás Maduro 2% Anna Kelly 14% ▲ 3 Scott Jennings 14% ▼ 1 Elizabeth Pipko 7% ▲ 2 57 more Alina Habba 3% Steven Cheung 3% ▲ 2 Danielle Alvarez 3% Tricia McLaughlin 3% ▲ 1 Margo Martin 3% Kari Lake 2% No new person 2% ▲ 1 Rachel Campos-Duffy 2% Roma Daravi 2% Laura Loomer 2% Maria Bartiromo 2% ▼ 1 Erin Elmore Scavino 2% Karoline Leavitt 2% Jason Miller 1% Sage Steele 1% Tucker Carlson 1% Liz Huston 1% Natalie Harp 1% Spencer Pratt 1% Lara Trump 1% Jayme Franklin 1% Erika Kirk 1% Matthew Boyle 1% Taylor Budowich 1% Katie Miller 1% ▼ 2 Monica Crowley 1% Kush Desai 1% Ari Fleischer 1% Benny Johnson 1% Matt Walsh 1% Ben Shapiro 1% Jack Posobiec 1% Mike Cernovich 1% Dan Bongino 1% Kayleigh McEnany 1% Harrison Fields 1% Taylor Rogers 1% ▼ 1 Hogan Gidley 1% Katie Pavlich 1% ▼ 1 Lauren Bis 1% Pat Adams 1% Kaelan Dorr 1% Vanessa Broussard 1% Cara Castronuova 1% Mark Levin 1% Logan Paul 1% Jake Paul 1% Eric Daugherty 1% Ben Ferguson 1% Tulsi Gabbard 1% Beni Rae Harmony 1% Peter Doocy 1% Sean Spicer 1% Marco Rubio 1% Kat Timpf 1% Kaylee McGhee White 1% George Santos 1% Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Settles on Donald Trump, The White House, Truth Social verified @realDonaldTrump
Trading closes Dec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET
Traded $583 (12,959 contracts)
Today $25
This week $583
At stake $210
Followed here since Oct 19, 2026
The rules If Donald Trump makes at least 1 statement explicitly calling for or endorsing a global pause, pacing, or slowdown in frontier AI development before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi .
From 4Search Finance. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.
Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use .