Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
24%December 31, 2029
- December 31, 202710%
- December 31, 202817%▼ 2
- December 31, 202924%
Install
OpenRouter AI token usage in October (October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25))
The odds
774.0median
400900
Median 774.0Middle half 755.7 – 792.3
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 450T tokens | 99% | 98¢ | 2.5K | |||
| Above 500T tokens | 99% | 99¢ | 2.4K | |||
| Above 550T tokens | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 5.2K | |
| Above 575T tokens | 98% | 93¢ | $1.02 | 1.2K | ||
| Above 600T tokens | 98% | $1.02 | 30.00 | |||
| Above 625T tokens | 88% | ▼ 7 | 88¢ | $1.14 | 93.00 | |
| Above 650T tokens | 83% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 14.00 | ||
| Above 675T tokens | 83% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 29.00 | ||
| Above 700T tokens | 83% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 7.00 | ||
| Above 750T tokens | 83% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.00 | ||
| Above 800T tokens | 14% | 14¢ | $7.14 | 132 | ||
| Above 850T tokens | 14% | ▲ 11 | 15¢ | $6.67 | 190 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OpenRouter AI
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Related markets
All ai ›DeepSeek market share this week (DeepSeek market share - Oct 19, 2026)
26.23%median
21.6%29%
Median 26.23%Middle half 25.22% – 27.26%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
Oct 26, 2026even chance by
- October 2120%▼ 27
- October 2240%▼ 28
- October 2441%▼ 31
2 more
- October 3175%▼ 7
- December 3198%
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
73%Google
- Google73%▲ 2
- Anthropic25%▼ 4
- OpenAI1%
18 more
- Meta<1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.1Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.1T.
- Reaches $1.5T91%
- Reaches $1.75T69%
- Falls to $800B4%
- Falls to $700B4%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
27%December 31, 2028
- December 31, 20262%▲ 1
- June 30, 202710%
- December 31, 202714%▲ 1
1 more
- December 31, 202827%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.