Brazil Presidential Election
63%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
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Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Shas win? (Oct 27, 2026)
The odds
7.65median
412
Median 7.65Middle half 6.66 – 8.70
How the odds have moved
Median: 7.83 on Oct 20, 7.65 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 5 | 95% | 91¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 69.00 | |
| Above 6 | 90% | ▲ 1 | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 46.00 |
| Above 7 | 68% | 65¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | 370 | |
| Above 8 | 41% | ▲ 1 | 36¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | |
| Above 9 | 19% | ▲ 1 | 14¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 4.4K |
| Above 10 | 10% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | |
| Above 11 | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 388 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Shas
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Shas in turmoil: Senior Sephardic rabbi calls for election boycottRabbi Moshe Tzadka, a leading Sephardic haredi rabbi, instructs followers not to vote for Shas over the military draft dispute. Aryeh Deri scrambles to enlist senior rabbis to reverse the decision. Shas in turmoil: Senior Sephardic rabbi… -
Shas rabbi warns voters backing rival parties will have 'no place in the afterlife'Senior ultra-Orthodox rabbi says voting for Likud or any party other than Shas forfeits a place in the world to come; former chief rabbi renews attack on Ben-Gvir as ultra-Orthodox parties devise new voter-tracking methods after Supreme… -
SHAS ELECTION PLEDGE: Deri Promises Free Tefillin For Every Bar Mitzvah Boy In IsraelShas chairman Aryeh Deri announced Thursday a new election initiative that would provide every Jewish boy in Israel with a free pair of tefillin upon reaching Bar Mitzvah age, as part of a broader effort to strengthen Jewish identity… -
SHA hosting open house on I-68 viaduct studyThe Cumberland Times-News Traffic moves along the Interstate 68 Crosstown Bridge in Cumberland Tuesday. State transportation officials are hosting an open house next week for feedback on the busy corridor from U.S. Route 220 to Willowbrook… - LEITNER REFUSES WITHDRAWAL: “Shas And UTJ’s Monopoly Is Over” As Netanyahu And Smotrich Push For DealChareidi Public party chairman Motti Leitner declared Wednesday evening that his party will remain in the Knesset race, despite mounting pressure from Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu and Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich to withdraw. “I…
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CHAREIDI ELECTION ALLIANCE: Shas And United Torah Judaism Sign Vote-Sharing Agreement Ahead Of Knesset ElectionsShas and United Torah Judaism have signed a surplus vote-sharing agreement ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset elections, formalizing their electoral cooperation and pledging to maintain a united position on issues affecting the Chareidi… -
Shas MK warns: Every wasted vote hands power to the leftShas MK and former minister Michael Malkieli on Sunday morning warned that the left-wing camp could gain strength as a result of votes lost by the right-wing bloc. In an interview with Kol Chai Radio, Malkieli said, "When [Democrats chief… - Why Arye Deri's Shas is Israel’s haredi version of woke politics - opinionThe Shas campaign is brilliant. Cynical to the core, and brilliant anyway. It is one of the sharpest campaigns we have seen in the feed, with production values and writing closer to cinema than to a party broadcast, and with delicate…
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Israel's political parties explained: Shas and United Torah JudaismShas and United Torah Judaism (UTJ) enter the Oct. 27 Knesset election seeking lasting protection for their religious institutions and communities. The two parties won 18 seats in 2022, supplying more than a quarter of Israeli Prime… -
Democrats bring back Sha Na Na to prove they have their finger on America’s pulseGet my Daily BS twice-a-day news stack directly to your email. by Snerd Lee Satire WASHINGTON — Democratic strategists have unveiled their boldest plan yet to win over younger voters: bring back Sha Na Na. The party’s new youth outreach… -
Chareidi youth turn from Shas, UTJ in pollSuper Data survey reveals dramatic drop in voting rates among young chareidim, with only 69% planning to vote. Shas collapses to 13% among under-30s, while Achi party surges to 12% as protest vote gathers force. Days before the polls open… - Beyond Shas and UTJ, Haredi Public offers ultra-Orthodox voters a different path“This is not just opposition to serving in the army. This is also lawlessness,” Pfeffer told The Media Line. Pfeffer chairs the rabbinic committee of the Haredi Public party, a new political party led by Beit Shemesh Deputy Mayor Moti…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions