Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton36%▼ 1
Install
120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader? (2027)
The odds
59%Chuck Schumer
- Chuck Schumer59%▼ 1
- John Thune22%
- Brian Schatz7%
- Chris Van Hollen7%
- John Barrasso4%
- Tom Cotton3%
How the odds have moved
Chuck Schumer: 49% on Oct 20, 59% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Schumer | 59% | ▼ 1 | 55¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | 5.8K |
| John Thune | 22% | 18¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 1.8K | |
| Brian Schatz | 7% | 5¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 1.6K | |
| Chris Van Hollen | 7% | 5¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 474 | |
| John Barrasso | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 483 | |
| Tom Cotton | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 815 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Senate Majority Leader, Chuck Schumer, John Thune
Search ›-
WATCH LIVE: Senate Majority Leader Thune joins Ashley Hinson on Iowa bus tourSenate Majority Leader John Thune joins Rep. Ashley Hinson in Sioux City, Iowa, to tour the 185th Air Refueling Wing and host a campaign roundtable discussion. WATCH LIVE: Senate Majority Leader Thune joins Ashley Hinson on Iowa bus tour… -
Joe Manchin rips Chuck Schumer for working against ‘dear friend’ Susan Collins: ‘he’s crazy’Former Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin took a swipe at Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer Wednesday for working to oust his “dear friend” Sen. Susan Collins — calling him “crazy” for targeting the Maine Republican. Manchin, who left the… - Senate Majority Leader Becoming A Major “Thune” In The Side Of RepublicansBy Milt Harris ——Bio and Archives--May 25, 2026 American Politics, News | CFP Comments | Subscribe | Email Us John Thune is the typical example of a so-called leader who keeps reciting the problem but makes no attempt to correct it. The…
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Chuck Schumer Goes FULL 'Quiet Part Out Loud' With Post Blasting Trump's Election Integrity EffortsThis year it's been discovered that not only do non-citizens manage to be registered to vote, but many of them actually cast ballots, which cancel out the votes of citizens. Yes indeed, the thing that we've been assured never happens… -
Thune brushes off prospect of Hakeem Jeffries taking power as GOP faces midterm testElection forecasters see Democrats taking the House, but Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., told Fox News Digital he is confident Republicans will hold the chamber and he won’t have to work with potential Speaker Hakeem Jeffries… -
Chuck Schumer PAC spends $1.2 million for Scott Colom as pundits say Hyde-Smith lead is waningBy Michael Goldberg | Originally published by Mississippi Today A top Democratic super PAC focused on U.S. Senate races announced Tuesday that it will spend $1.2 million on an ad campaign in Mississippi for Scott Colom. The ad, paid for by… -
Thune weighs nightmare scenario for GOP as Democrats threaten to flip HouseElection forecasters see Democrats taking the House, but Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., told Fox News Digital he is confident Republicans will hold the chamber, and he won’t have to work with potential Speaker Hakeem Jeffries… -
Indian-American Ro Khanna says he is ‘not a Chuck Schumer Democrat’Home » International » Indian-American Ro Khanna says he is ‘not a Chuck Schumer Democrat’ Posted By: Gopi October 21, 2026 United Nations, Oct 22 (SocialNews.XYZ) Indian-American Congressman Ro Khanna has declared himself “a New Deal… -
Thune campaigns with Ashley Hinson as Senate Republicans view Iowa as a majority-makerOctober 23, 2026 / 10:09 PM EDT / CBS News Sioux City, Iowa — Senate Majority Leader John Thune campaigned with GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson in Iowa on Friday in his latest effort to prop up Republican candidates on the campaign trail… -
John Barrasso to campaign with Ken Paxton - Live Updates - POLITICOHe’s the most senior Senate Republican to hit the trail with the embattled Texas candidate. Senate Majority Whip John Barrasso will campaign with Ken Paxton next week in Texas as Republicans work overtime to try to hold onto the endangered… -
Ro Khanna Breaks With Chuck Schumer, Demands a New Direction for DemocratsKhanna shared his message on X on Wednesday, along with a 57-second video. He said the Democratic Party needed more leaders like Nixon and fewer leaders like Schumer to move forward. Khanna argued that the party should not be controlled by… -
JD Vance Nebraska Rally Interrupted by Medical Incident Behind VP on StageOct 22, 2026 at 01:08 PM EDT Oct 22, 2026 at 03:41 PM EDT Vice President JD Vance led an audience in Nebraska in prayer Thursday after a woman behind him suffered a medical emergency during his rally speech. The woman appeared to pass out…
Related markets
All senate ›Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (2026)
63%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party63%▼ 4
- Republican Party37%▲ 2
Texas Senate Election Winner
63%James Talarico (D)
- James Talarico (D)63%▼ 1
- Ken Paxton (R)37%
Michigan Senate Election Winner
71%Abdul El-Sayed (D)
- Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%
- Mike Rogers (R)29%▲ 1
Alaska Senate winner? (2026)
75%Democratic party
- Democratic party75%▼ 1
- Republican party25%
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
64%Democrats sweep
- Democrats sweep64%▼ 2
- D-House, R-Senate25%▲ 1
- Republicans sweep10%
1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.