Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton36%
Install
120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Republican leader? (Before Jan 1, 2027)
The odds
88%John Thune
- John Thune88%
- Rick Scott15%
- John Barrasso14%
- Mike Lee4%
- Ron Johnson4%
- Josh Hawley4%
- Tom Cotton4%
How the odds have moved
John Thune: 89% on Oct 19, 88% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Thune | 88% | 83¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 227 | |
| Rick Scott | 15% | 10¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 1.7K | |
| John Barrasso | 14% | 10¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | ||
| Mike Lee | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| Ron Johnson | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| Josh Hawley | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| Tom Cotton | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Senate Republican, John Thune, Rick Scott
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Senate Republicans lambaste potential coronavirus dealThe pushback from GOP senators shows just how difficult it will be to approve a new bill. 10/10/2020 1:25 PM EDT Senate Republicans lashed out at a potential framework for a new coronavirus deal between the Trump administration and Speaker… -
Thune campaigns with Ashley Hinson as Senate Republicans view Iowa as a majority-makerOctober 23, 2026 / 10:09 PM EDT / CBS News Sioux City, Iowa — Senate Majority Leader John Thune campaigned with GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson in Iowa on Friday in his latest effort to prop up Republican candidates on the campaign trail… -
Exclusive / Democratic AI PAC takes its fight to Senate RepublicansTomorrow Together, an AI-focused Democratic PAC, is moving into Senate races with $2.5 million in ads against Republican Sens. Jon Husted in Ohio and Roger Marshall in Kansas, according to an announcement shared first with Semafor. The… -
Senate Republicans Training Their Own Election Observers to Match Democrats’ EffortSenate Republicans are training their own election observers to send to battleground states ahead of the Nov. 3 midterms, a spokesperson for Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) told The Epoch Times, the first direct confirmation… -
Rick Scott: ‘Going to Take a While’ to Finish in Iran, Likely Need ‘A Lot More Bombing’On Thursday’s broadcast of the Fox Business Network’s “Big Money in the Morning,” Sen. Rick Scott (R-FL) stated that “while Iran’s economy is decimated, it’s going to take a while.” And “we’re going to have to keep working at this The post… -
Pa. Dems blast Senate Republicans after skill games deal collapsesBy DaniRae Renno, pennlive.com Pennsylvania’s four legislative caucuses and the governor’s office had reached a deal to legalize skill games on Wednesday morning, but the deal fell through when state Senate Republicans couldn’t get the… -
LIVE NOW: RFK Jr., Sen. Rick Scott Attend Alzheimer’s Summit in FloridaHealth Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) participate in the department’s first Alzheimer’s Disease and Related Dementias Summit in Fort Lauderdale, Florida. What would you like to watch today? LIVE NOW: RFK Jr… -
Sen. Rick Scott calls Israel model for 'America First' alliancesJNS provides comprehensive Israel and Jewish news coverage, features, and analysis to print and digital publications across the globe. Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) said on Wednesday that the U.S.-Israel partnership is a model for “America… -
Sen. Rick Scott Details How to Rescue the American Dream at TaxWatch’s Fiscal Accountability Leadership SummitFORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. – Today, U.S. Senator Rick Scott outlined his Rescuing America project to restore the American Dream and combat the rise of socialism to Florida economic and government leaders at Florida TaxWatch's Fiscal… -
Rick Scott confident Byron Donalds will return Florida’s focus to job creationRick Scott. Image via Florida TaxWatch.U.S. Sen. Rick Scott says Republican Byron Donalds can ramp up job creation in the state as Governor. “When I left, we were doing a little over 200,000 new jobs a year. Last year, I think it was about 70,000,” Scott said. “So we clearly… -
Rick Scott: ‘We Can’t Help’ ‘Bad Guys’ Like Putin, Putin Never Keeps Word, Just Like IranOn Wednesday’s broadcast of Fox News Radio’s “Brian Kilmeade Show,” Sen. Rick Scott (R-FL) stated that “Putin doesn’t comply with anything.” And “It’s like Iran, they’re not going to comply” with deals. Scott said, “Putin’s a thug. And so… -
Senate Republicans’ Top PAC Dropping $1 Million Into Deep-Red MississippiSenate Republicans’ top campaign arm planned to spend $1 million in deep-red Mississippi Thursday after the Senate race became unusually competitive, a source familiar confirmed to the Daily Caller News Foundation. NEW — Senate Leadership…
Related markets
All senate ›Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (2026)
63%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party63%▼ 3
- Republican Party37%▲ 2
Texas Senate Election Winner
64%James Talarico (D)
- James Talarico (D)64%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton (R)37%
Michigan Senate Election Winner
71%Abdul El-Sayed (D)
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Alaska Senate winner? (2026)
76%Democratic party
- Democratic party76%
- Republican party25%
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
64%Democrats sweep
- Democrats sweep64%▼ 3
- D-House, R-Senate26%
- Republicans sweep10%
1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions