Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton36%
Install
120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader? (Before Jan 1, 2027)
The odds
86%Chuck Schumer
- Chuck Schumer86%
- Brian Schatz16%
- Chris Van Hollen3%
- Chris Murphy3%
- Catherine Cortez Masto3%
- Elizabeth Warren3%
- Cory Booker3%
How the odds have moved
Chuck Schumer: 97% on Oct 20, 86% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Schumer | 86% | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 3.4K | |
| Brian Schatz | 16% | 15¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | ||
| Chris Van Hollen | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| Chris Murphy | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| Catherine Cortez Masto | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| Elizabeth Warren | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| Cory Booker | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Senate Democratic, Chuck Schumer, Brian Schatz
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Joe Manchin rips Chuck Schumer for working against ‘dear friend’ Susan Collins: ‘he’s crazy’Former Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin took a swipe at Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer Wednesday for working to oust his “dear friend” Sen. Susan Collins — calling him “crazy” for targeting the Maine Republican. Manchin, who left the… -
Chuck Schumer Goes FULL 'Quiet Part Out Loud' With Post Blasting Trump's Election Integrity EffortsThis year it's been discovered that not only do non-citizens manage to be registered to vote, but many of them actually cast ballots, which cancel out the votes of citizens. Yes indeed, the thing that we've been assured never happens… -
Senate Democratic candidates keep the cash flowing, new filings showSenate Democratic candidates in battleground races continued to haul in massive amounts of money in October, the newest federal filings show. Leading the way was James Talarico, the Democrat looking to flip Texas’ open Senate seat. He… -
Chuck Schumer PAC spends $1.2 million for Scott Colom as pundits say Hyde-Smith lead is waningBy Michael Goldberg | Originally published by Mississippi Today A top Democratic super PAC focused on U.S. Senate races announced Tuesday that it will spend $1.2 million on an ad campaign in Mississippi for Scott Colom. The ad, paid for by… -
Indian-American Ro Khanna says he is ‘not a Chuck Schumer Democrat’Home » International » Indian-American Ro Khanna says he is ‘not a Chuck Schumer Democrat’ Posted By: Gopi October 21, 2026 United Nations, Oct 22 (SocialNews.XYZ) Indian-American Congressman Ro Khanna has declared himself “a New Deal… -
Ro Khanna Breaks With Chuck Schumer, Demands a New Direction for DemocratsKhanna shared his message on X on Wednesday, along with a 57-second video. He said the Democratic Party needed more leaders like Nixon and fewer leaders like Schumer to move forward. Khanna argued that the party should not be controlled by… -
Ro Khanna backs Nixon in Florida Senate race, criticizes Democratic leadershipNEW YORK (Diya TV) — Rep. Ro Khanna criticized Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer’s approach to party leadership while campaigning in Florida for Democratic Senate candidate Angie Nixon. “I am a New Deal Democrat, not a Chuck Schumer… -
Democrats Warn Economy — Not Impeachment — Should Drive Agenda“Costs are number one, two, three, four and five” on the to-do list, one Democratic operative said. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries are developing an agenda in the event that Democrats win… -
Manchin calls Schumer 'crazy' for trying to oust GOP senator in crucial Senate showdownFormer Sen. Joe Manchin of West Virginia, a longtime Democrat turned independent, speaks with Fox News Digital in Lewiston, Maine as he campaigns with his close friend Republican Sen. Susan Collins. LEWISTON, MAINE – Former Sen. Joe… -
Funeral held for Charles Rangel, longtime N.Y. congressman and son of HarlemUpdated on: June 13, 2025 / 6:04 PM EDT / CBS New York Former Rep. Charles Rangel was laid to rest Friday with a funeral at St. Patrick's Cathedral in Manhattan. The longtime New York congressman died last month at the age of 94. A… -
US Democrats Lead House Race by 8 PointsDemocrats lead Republicans 52% to 44% in the race for the US House, according to a new ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos poll, and President Donald Trump’s approval has fallen to 33%. This is the latest update to our 2026 US midterm elections… -
Republican group places seven-figure ad buy in MississippiThe top Senate Republican super PAC is spending more than $1 million in Mississippi’s Senate race to defend GOP Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith and stave off an upset bid from Democratic candidate Scott Colom, according to details shared with…
Related markets
All senate ›Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (2026)
63%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party63%▼ 4
- Republican Party37%▲ 2
Texas Senate Election Winner
64%James Talarico (D)
- James Talarico (D)64%▼ 1
- Ken Paxton (R)37%
Alaska Senate winner? (2026)
75%Democratic party
- Democratic party75%▼ 1
- Republican party25%
Michigan Senate Election Winner
71%Abdul El-Sayed (D)
- Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%▲ 2
- Mike Rogers (R)29%▼ 1
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
65%Democrats sweep
- Democrats sweep65%▼ 2
- D-House, R-Senate26%▲ 1
- Republicans sweep9%
1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions