Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton36%▼ 1
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Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)
The odds
41%Summer Lee
- Summer Lee41%
- Chris Deluzio16%
- Brendan Boyle14%
- Conor Lamb11%
- John Fetterman6%
- Susan Wild5%
- Chris Rabb4%
- Bob Casey Jr.3%
How the odds have moved
Summer Lee: 33% on Oct 20, 41% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Summer Lee | 41% | 36¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 4.1K | |
| Chris Deluzio | 16% | 12¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 4.7K | |
| Brendan Boyle | 14% | 13¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 3.7K | |
| Conor Lamb | 11% | 7¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 1.0K | |
| John Fetterman | 6% | 1¢ | 10¢ | $10.10 | 702 | |
| Susan Wild | 5% | 1¢ | 9¢ | $10.87 | 601 | |
| Chris Rabb | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 490 | |
| Bob Casey Jr. | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 277 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Pennsylvania Democratic Senate, Summer Lee, Chris Deluzio
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Democrats are eyeing a John Fetterman challenge. Chris Deluzio is already laying the groundwork.The House Democrat is “seriously” considering launching a primary campaign against the senator he supported four years ago. Reps. Chris Deluzio (D-Pa.), left, and Summer Lee (D-Pa.) tour Module, a Pittsburgh-based company that provides… -
Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District features rematch between Summer Lee and James HayesOctober 21, 2026 / 6:50 PM EDT / CBS Pittsburgh Incumbent Democrat Summer Lee is facing a challenge from Republican James Hayes in Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District. Lee believes that if midterm elections are a referendum on the… -
Lawmakers in Pennsylvania pass bell-to-bell cellphone ban for schoolsCBS News Lawmakers in Pennsylvania pass bell-to-bell cellphone ban for schools Allegheny County's newly passed mandate on paid parental leave draws strong reactions KDKA-TV Nightly Forecast (10/21) Elementary school teacher caught with… -
Church in Brentwood to have parking lot repaved through Election DayCBS News Church in Brentwood to have parking lot repaved through Election Day Greater Pittsburgh Community Food Bank lays out plan to attack food security Video of woman's arrest raises more questions about use of force by Donora police… -
Video of woman's arrest raises more questions about use of force by Donora policeCBS News Video of woman's arrest raises more questions about use of force by Donora police Greater Pittsburgh Community Food Bank lays out plan to attack food security 12th Congressional District features rematch between Summer Lee and… -
AI-generated ads are on the rise in politics. Are they allowed to be used?CBS News AI-generated ads are on the rise in politics. Are they allowed to be used? Greater Pittsburgh Community Food Bank lays out plan to attack food security Video of woman's arrest raises more questions about use of force by Donora… -
House Democrat reportedly giving 'serious thought' to Fetterman primary challengeHUNT VALLEY, Md. (TNND) — Senator John Fetterman has irritated Democrats around the country as he breaks party ranks to support key Republican initiatives, back Israel's regional wars and bash his progressive colleagues to conservative… -
Congressional incumbents in Western Pa. outraise and outspend their challengersChallengers looking to unseat Western Pennsylvania’s incumbent members of Congress in the Nov. 3 election are losing their fundraising battles by wide margins, according to the latest federal filings. The region’s two Democratic members of… -
Brighton Twp, New Brighton Fire Crews Get $1.7M In Federal GrantsThis audio is AI-narrated, not a human recording. Two Beaver County fire departments are splitting more than $1.7 million in federal grants, U.S. Rep. Chris Deluzio (D-17) announced Wednesday. The Brighton Township Volunteer Fire… -
Letter to the editor: Vote DemocratIt was gratifying to read the letter “Bradstock will move country in right direction” (Oct. 20, TribLive). It was written by a self-described lifelong Republican who believes the party has moved away from its former values of fiscal… -
Dem Rep. Boyle: We’re Not Being Leader of Free World with Russia, First Priority for Dem Congress Will Be Defunding Iran WarOn Tuesday’s broadcast of MS NOW’s “11th Hour,” Rep. Brendan Boyle (D-PA) said that the United States’ approach to the Russia-Ukraine war is moving “away from the historic role as leader of the free world,” and that cutting off funding The… -
Jayapal, Sanders Question Zuckerberg Over Alleged Meta Interference in Brazilian ElectionSupporters of Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva hold masks depicting Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg with red horns during a demonstration in front of Meta's headquarters in São Paulo, Brazil, on October 19, 2026. "It is unacceptable…
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All senate ›Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (2026)
64%Democratic Party
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63%James Talarico (D)
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2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
65%Democrats sweep
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- R-House, D-Senate1%
Maine Senate Election Winner
64%Troy Jackson (D)
- Troy Jackson (D)64%▼ 2
- Susan Collins (R)36%▲ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.