Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
11%chance▲ 3
Install
When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy? (Before Mar 1, 2027)
The odds
41%Before Mar 1, 2027
- Before Nov 21, 20266%▲ 1
- Before Dec 19, 202621%
- Before Mar 1, 202741%
How the odds have moved
Before Nov 21, 2026: 6% on Oct 20, 6% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Sep 25, 2026 | — | |||||
| Before Oct 3, 2026 | 68% | $1.47 | 1.5K | |||
| Before Nov 21, 2026 | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 2.0K |
| Before Dec 19, 2026 | 21% | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 1.3K | |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 41% | 39¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | 41.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Hung Cao, Secretary, Navy
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U.S. Navy Secretary Visits Fincantieri Wisconsin ShipyardsActing U.S. Navy Secretary Hung Cao visits Fincantieri shipyard in Wisconsin. Image courtesy Fincantieri Romanian President Nicusor Dan accused Russia of escalating its attacks on NATO's eastern flank on Friday, after a drone… HD Hyundai… -
South Philadelphia man returns home after Navy deploymentCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. South… -
The US Navy Just Handed the World a Big Clue that the Iran War Is Nowhere Close to Ending Anytime SoonThe Pentagon is sending the carrier Theodore Roosevelt and a Marine expeditionary unit to the Middle East, due by the end of November, as Trump reportedly weighs new strikes on Iran after the midterms. The strike group is the first to… -
North Texas rides explosive plays past Navy in 49-39 shootoutThe Mean Green had two other scores for over 50 yards via Tayven Jackson's 53-yard pass to Justin Stevenson for a 42-25 lead in the third quarter and Jahiem White's 59-yard sprint in the fourth for the game's final points. The Mean Green… - DoW, Navy Near $1.7B Hampton Roads Barracks DealThe Department of War and the Department of the Navy today announced financial close on Homeport Hampton Roads Phase II, a $1.7 billion initiative to modernize unaccompanied housing for thousands of Sailors across the Hampton Roads region…
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Hunt Military Communities, U.S. Navy, Department of War, and Community Leaders Celebrate Closing of Homeport Hampton Roads Phase II, Launching Housing Program for Unaccompanied SailorsProgram will deliver more than 8,000 new and improved beds for unaccompanied Sailors across Norfolk, Newport News, and Virginia Beach Speakers at the celebration included Acting Secretary of the Navy Hung Cao; Under Secretary of War… -
Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg: Housing Secretary Angela Rayner being quizzedHousing Secretary Angela Rayner has been questioned on Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg - watch the show live at the top of the page Her appearance came ahead of Labour's first Budget under Prime Minister Andy Burnham, being delivered on… -
North Texas turns big plays into 49-39 win over Navy for 4th straight victoryBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Dalton Carnes returned… -
Democrats see an opening in secretary of state races in red terrainAs the midterm battleground increasingly shifts to red territory, Democrats hope a favorable national environment will translate to winning lower-profile offices that have long eluded the party. As the midterm battleground increasingly… -
TAKING FLIGHT: How the US Navy's frontline carrier aircraft are built in FloridaNorthrop Grumman site leader Randy Bradley breaks down how Florida's industrial ecosystem hand-builds the Navy's carrier-capable E-2D Hawkeye using over 30,000 parts. TAKING FLIGHT: How the US Navy's frontline carrier aircraft are built in… -
Education Secretary Linda McMahon on California’s schools, Newsom and the end of the Education DepartmentEducation Secretary Linda McMahon has a message for California: Washington is getting out of the classroom, parents need to step in, and schools that keep secrets from families will pay the price. In an exclusive interview with The… -
Leavitt Delivers Blunt Verdict on Zacharia’s Brief Press Secretary StintOct 22, 2026 at 04:09 PM EDT Oct 22, 2026 at 04:26 PM EDT Former White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt has offered a frank assessment of Katie Zacharia’s brief tenure as her successor, saying the high-profile role “obviously was not…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions